The accuracy of synoptic-based weather forecasting deteriorates rapidly after five days and is not routinely available beyond 10 days. Conversely, climate forecasts are generally not feasible for periods of less than 3 months, resulting in a weather-climate gap. The tropical atmospheric phenomenon known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) has a return interval of 30 to 80 days that might par...

The large-scale equatorial circulation known as the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) has been shown to impact tropical cyclone activity in several basins around the globe. In this paper, the author utilizes an MJO index created by Wheeler and Hendon to examine its impacts on tropical genesis and intensification in the Atlantic. Large differences in frequency and intensity of tropical cyclone act...

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), an eastward-propagating equatorial disturbance most active during the boreal winter, dominates atmospheric intraseasonal variability in the tropical Eastern Hemisphere. The MJO involves cyclic patterns of suppressed convection and intense rainfall, has a period ranging from 20-100 days, and is manifested in numerous atmospheric and oceanic variables. This st...

Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) based on its propagation through the maritime continent can be divided into two types, namely MJO-C (Crossing) and MJO-B (Blocked) as evidenced by spatial diagram of Hovmöller OLR anomaly. This study aimed to determine effect MJO variations, sea surface temperature rainfall in Indonesian region period 1998 2015. The data used this are reanalysis models including ...

Over the global tropics, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (Madden and Julian 1994, MJO) explains a significant amount of the variability in circulation and convection on intraseasonal time scales. However, significant variation exists in the spatial extent and seasonal occurrence of the MJO. While the upper-level divergent flow associated with MJO is often traced around the globe, the low-level wi...

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) influences tropical cyclone formation around the globe. Convectively coupled Kelvin waves are often embedded within the MJO, but their role in tropical cyclogenesis remains uncertain. This case study identifies the influences of the MJO and a series of Kelvin waves on the formation of two tropical cyclones. Typhoons Rammasun and Chataan developed in the weste...

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of variability in the tropical atmosphere on intraseasonal time scales and planetary spatial scales. Despite the primary importance of the MJO and the decades of research progress since its original discovery, a generally accepted theory for its essential mechanisms has remained elusive. In recent work by two of the authors, a minimal dyn...

13 The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) was shown to a ect both present-day Sudden Strato14 spheric Warming (SSW) events in the Arctic, and their future frequency under global 15 warming scenarios, with implications to the Arctic Oscillation and mid-latitude extreme 16 weather. This work uses a dry dynamic core model to understand the dependence of SSW 17 frequency on the amplitude and longitudi...

[1] The vertical distribution of radiative heating affects the moist static energy budget and potentially the maintenance and propagation of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO). This paper usesCloudSat data to examine the radiative heating climatology in the tropics and the vertical structure of its modulation by the MJO and convectively coupled Kelvin Waves (KWs). Composites of active regions ...

It is well known that the envelope of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) consists of smaller-scale convective systems, including mesoscale convective systems (MCS), tropical cyclones, and synoptic-scale waves called ‘‘convectively coupled equatorial waves’’ (CCW). In fact, recent results suggest that the fundamental mechanisms of the MJO involve interactions between the synoptic-scale CCW and ...