The fuzzy logical model of perception (FLMP; Massaro, 1998) has been extremely successful at describing performance across a wide range of ecological domains as well as for a broad spectrum of individuals. An important issue is whether this descriptive ability is theoretically informative or whether it simply reflects the model's ability to describe a wider range of possible outcomes. Previous ...

In a 1935 paper, and in his book Theory of Probability, Jeffreys developed a methodology for quantifying the evidence in favor of a scientific theory. The centerpiece was a number, now called the Bayes factor, which is the posterior odds of the null hypothesis when the prior probability on the null is one-half. Although there has been much discussion of Bayesian hypothesis testing in the contex...

The available data on | B| = | S| = 1 decays are in good agreement with the Standard Model when permitting subleading power corrections of about 15% at large hadronic recoil. Constraining new-physics effects in C7, C9, C10, the data still demand the same size of power corrections as in the Standard Model. In the presence of chirality-flipped operators, all but one of the power corrections reduc...

I investigate how a model that assumes learning might interact with a rational expectations data generating process. Milani (2007b) asserts that if agents are learning and there is no conditional heteroscedasticity then an econometrician may be fooled into estimating ARCH/GARCH models. In addition, I evaluate the contribution of a new endogenous gain, which I have proposed in previous paper, ma...

In a 1935 paper, and in his book Theory of Probability, Je reys developed a methodology for quantifying the evidence in favor of a scienti c theory. The centerpiece was a number, now called the Bayes factor, which is the posterior odds of the null hypothesis when the prior probability on the null is one-half. Although there has been much discussion of Bayesian hypothesis testing in the context ...

The available data on |∆B| = |∆S| = 1 decays are in good agreement with the Standard Model when permitting subleading power corrections of about 15% at large hadronic recoil. Constraining new-physics effects in C7, C9, C10, the data still demand the same size of power corrections as in the Standard Model. In the presence of chirality-flipped operators, all but one of the power corrections reduc...

background breast cancer (bc) is the most common cancer in iranian women. studying the mortality statistics is important to monitor the effects of screening programs or the influence of earlier diagnosis on the burden of this chronic disease. misclassification is still a problem in the iranian death registry data and about 20% of death statistics are recorded in misclassified categories. object...

In this paper, we consider Bayesian model selection using the well-known Bayes factor. A method on the basis of path sampling for computing the ratio of two normalizing constants involved in the Bayes factor is proposed. The key idea is to construct a continuous path to link up the competing models, then the Bayes factor can be estimated e6ciently by means of grids in [0,1] and observations sim...

A Bayesian method is used to see whether there are changes of mean, covariance, or both at an unknown time point in a sequence of independent multivariate normal observations. Noninformative priors are used for all competing models: no-change model, mean change model, covariance change model, and mean and covariance change model. We use several versions of the intrinsic Bayes factor of Berger a...