This paper presents an assessment of vocal impairment for separating healthy persons from patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD). We have recently shown that deterioration of speech performances in PD speakers is notable from an early stage of the disease, even before starting pharmacotherapy. In this study, we present the potential of the simple Bayes rule to reveal changes in degradable speec...

While decisions made according to Bayes' theorem are the academic normative standard, the theorem is rarely used explicitly in clinical practice. Yet the principles can be followed without intimidating mathematics. To do so, one can first categorise the prior-probability of the disease being tested for as very unlikely (less likely than 10%), unlikely (10-33%), uncertain (34-66%), likely (67-90...

Although Bayes’s theorem demands a prior that is a probability distribution on the parameter space, the calculus associated with Bayes’s theorem sometimes generates sensible procedures from improper priors, Pitman’s estimator being a good example. However, improper priors may also lead to Bayes procedures that are paradoxical or otherwise unsatisfactory, prompting some authors to insist that al...

This paper represents the first steps towards constructing a paraconsistent theory of probability based on the Logics of Formal Inconsistency (LFIs). We show that LFIs encode very naturally an extension of the notion of probability able to express sophisticated probabilistic reasoning under contradictions employing appropriate notions of conditional probability and paraconsistent updating, via ...

Abst ract The original statement of Kharitonov's theorem requires that all polynomials in the family have the same degree. It has been shown recently that such an assumption is unnecessary. Here we show that the validity of the stronger statement follows from a classical proof combined with additional elementary considerations. 1 Introdu ction The original statement of Kharitonov's theorem 3] r...