This paper investigates the methodological foundations of a new research field called chance discovery, which aims to detect future opportunities and risks. By drawing on concepts from cybernetics and system theory, it is argued that chance discovery best applies to open systems that are equipped with regulatory mechanisms to approximate an ‘ideal’ state. We will motivate anticipation as an add...

Fuzziness plays an essential role in the real world. Fuzzy set theory has been developed very fast since it was introduced by Zadeh (1965) [1]. A fuzzy set was characterized with its membership function by Zadeh. The term fuzzy variable was fist introduced by Kaufmann (1975) [2], and then appeared in Zadeh (1978) [3] and Nahmias (1978) [4] as a fuzzy set of real numbers. In order to establish t...

I argue that there are non-trivial objective chances (that is, objective chances other than 0 and 1) even in deterministic worlds. The argument is straightforward. I observe that there are probabilistic special scientific laws even in deterministic worlds. These laws project nontrivial probabilities for the events that they concern. And these probabilities play the chance role and so should be ...

Abstract Renewable energy has unpredictable intermittency and variability, increasing the complexity of grid dispatch. Fuzziness theory is introduced under uncertainty large-scale intermittent power supply. characterized by fuzziness parameters. Meanwhile, conventional deterministic unit commitment model transformed into a chance-constraint with The explicit equivalence classes chance constrain...

Pairwise contests occur when two individuals compete directly over ownership of an indivisible resource. Contests vary in the degree of escalation, some encounters being settled through non-injurious behaviour while others are only resolved after dangerous fighting. Here, we investigate the role of relatedness, assessed using AFLP analysis, on the occurrence of stinging during staged contests i...