We investigated connections between subtropical Atlantic climate variability, atmospheric conditions in the European Alpine region (45 to 47° N and 5 to 8° E) and the interannual variability of the thermal conditions in the largest body of freshwater in Western Europe (Lake Geneva). The long-term water temperature was related to climate variability by means of a multivariate regression model. R...

The role of global climate change in the decline of biodiversity and the emergence of infectious diseases remains controversial, and the effect of climatic variability, in particular, has largely been ignored. For instance, it was recently revealed that the proposed link between climate change and widespread amphibian declines, putatively caused by the chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobati...

This paper presents a conceptual modeling study on the behaviors of terrestrial biosphere–atmosphere systems as they relate to multiple equilibrium states and climate variability, and emphasizes their implications for physically based climate modeling. The conceptual biosphere–atmosphere model consists of equilibrium responses of vegetation and precipitation to each other, dynamics of the veget...

Tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies influence the atmospheric circulation, impacting climate far beyond the tropics. The predictability of the corresponding atmospheric signals is typically limited to less than 1 year lead time. Here we present observational and modelling evidence for multi-year predictability of coherent trans-basin climate variations that are characterized by a...

Our evolving climate is influenced by several factors such as greenhouse gases and solar output, coupled with the inherent variability of the climate system. Natural fluctuations in climate can temporarily mask or enhance the long-term upwards trend in temperatures, and contribute to uncertainty in climate projections, especially on regional scales. Understanding and acknowledging these variati...

Interaction of orbital insolation cycles defines a predictive model of alternating phases of high- and low-climate variability for tropical East Africa over the past 5 million years. This model, which is described in terms of climate variability stages, implies repeated increases in landscape/resource instability and intervening periods of stability in East Africa. It predicts eight prolonged (...

The interaction of the ocean and atmosphere plays an important role in shaping the climate and its variations. This chapter reviews the current state of knowledge of air–sea interaction and climate variations over the global ocean. The largest source of climate variability in the instrumental record is El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which extends its reach globally through the ability of ...

von Uexkull, N. 2016. Climate, Conflict and Coping Capacity. The Impact of Climate Variability on Organized Violence. Report / Department of Peace and Conflict Research 111. 44 pp. Uppsala: Department of Peace and Conflict Research. ISBN 978-91-506-2585-1. Understanding the conflict potential of climate variability is critical for assessing and dealing with the societal implications of climate ...