This paper explores the role played by government guarantees to banks’ foreign creditors as a root cause of self-fulfilling twin banking-currency crises. We develop a general equilibrium model in which such guarantees lead to these types of crises. Absent government guarantees, such crises are not possible. The model has three key properties. First, in the presence of government guarantees bank...

This paper demonstrates the use of fuzzy clustering to characterize Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI). We argue that classifying small areas based on variables related to the amount, type, and currency of VGI can provide a more nuanced understanding of the content. We present a classification of 2011 UK Census Output Areas in Leicestershire (UK) based on content of OpenStreetMap, using a...

in this paper, the behavior of saving and consumption has been considered in ramsey – cass- koopmans model’s framework. our purpose was investigation of dynamics of these variables and analysis of their response to other parameter and variable variations. so, we made lagrangian function subject to some restrictions and euler equations and other steady state path equations. and then, we have cal...

This paper focuses on the theory of uncovered interest rate parity and whether interest-rate differentials have resulted in the higher interest rate currency depreciating over time. Previous literature has empirically rejected the theory indicating that higher interest rate currencies have actually appreciated relative to lower interest rate currencies. In this paper, uncovered interest rate pa...

To quantify the implications of common currencies for trade and income, we use data for over 200 countries and dependencies. In our two-stage approach, estimates at the first stage suggest that belonging to a currency union/board triples trade with other currency union members. Moreover, there is no evidence of trade-diversion. Our estimates at the second stage suggest that every one percent in...

This paper empirically tests the determinants of foreign currency hedging using a large sample of UK non-financial firms. I find, unlike similar studies using US data, strong evidence of a relationship between expected financial distress costs and the foreign currency hedging decision and more significantly the foreign currency only hedging decision. This contrast in the findings between this s...

Large uninsured risk, severe borrowing constraints, and rapid income growth can create excessively high household saving rates and large current account surpluses for emerging economies. Therefore, the massive foreign-reserve buildups by China are not necessarily the intended outcome of any government policies or an undervalued home currency, but instead a natural consequence of the country’s r...

Internationally operating firms naturally face the decision whether or not to hedge the currency risk implied by foreign investments. In a recent paper, Bos, Mahieu and van Dijk (2000) evaluate the returns from optimal and alternative currency hedging strategies, for a series of 7 models, using Bayesian inference and decision analysis. The models differ in the way time-varying means, variances ...

Using a competitive two-country two-commodity monetary model with optimizing agents in which persistent unemployment arises, this paper examines the effects of trade restrictions on consumption and employment in the two countries. When facing unemployment, a country tends to impose an import restriction so that domestic firms will increase production and raise employment. However, this policy i...

Using a competitive two-country two-commodity monetary model with optimizing agents in which persistent unemployment arises, this paper examines the effects of trade restrictions on consumption and employment in the two countries. When facing unemployment, a country tends to impose an import restriction so that domestic firms will increase production and raise employment. However, this policy i...