This paper investigates the relationship between cigarette consumption per capita net disposable income, cigarette price index, and per capita expenditure for education. In this empirical analysis the Johansen cointegration test is applied in conjunction with the vector error correction model. Finally, the forecasting technique of cigarettes consumption in Greece using cointegration models is p...

This study investigates the causal nexus between public expenditure and economic growth in India using cointegration approach and error correction model. The analysis was carried out over the period 1973 to 2012. The Cointegration test result confirms the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in India. The empirical results based on the er...

The concept of cointegration is widely used in applied non-stationary time series analysis to describe the co-movement of data measured over time. In this paper, we proposed a Bayesian model for cointegration test and analysis, based on the dynamic latent factor framework. Efficient computational algorithms are also developed based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Performance and efficiency ...

Consanguineous marriages and their effects on human beings in light of biological effects of genetic sicknesses are discussed in many studies. Among many, the likelihood of sicknesses such as phenylketonuria, thalassemia, Landsteiner–Fanconi–Anderson’s syndrome, hemophilia and many neuro system anomalies increase drastically in countries with consanguineous marriage practices resulting in incre...

Two versions of a fractionally cointegrating vector error correction model (FVECM) are presented. In the case of regular cointegration, linear combinations of fractionally integrated variables are integrated to lower order. Generalized cointegration is de…ned as the case where the cointegrating variables may be fractional di¤erences of the observed series. The concepts are applied to a model of...

The study aims to estimate an international reserves demand model for China using economic growth, propensity to import, real effective exchange rate and trade openness variables for quarterly period spanning from 1985Q1 to 2014Q4.The bounds testing technique to cointegration is used to test for a long run relationship, while the autoregressive distributed lag approach is used to estimate short...

With the purpose of analyzing non-stationary time series, this paper innovates the nonlinear cointegration discriminate analysis by introducing support vector machine and innovated feature-weighting model to overcome existing limitations of two methods, that is, the statistical approach and the neural network used by the nonlinear cointegration theory. Then, the application of the innovated met...

This paper examines types of cointegration for bivariate seasonal time series, namely seasonal cointegration, periodic cointegration and nonperiodic cointegration. The admissable form(s) for any cointegration is shown to depend crucially on the univariate unit root properties of the series. When both processes are (conventionally) integrated, only nonperiodic cointegration is possible. Periodic...

This paper introduces a Bayesian Markov regime-switching model that allows the cointegration relationship between two time series to be switched on and off over time. Unlike classical approaches for testing and modeling cointegration, the Bayesian Markov switching method allows for estimation of the regime-specific model parameters via Markov Chain Monte Carlo and generates more reliable estima...