A long-term goal of this research is to improve dynamical prediction of tropical cyclones using ensemble methods for making analyses and forecasts. A second goal is to use the information contained in ensemble analyses and forecasts to improve basic understanding of tropical cyclone dynamics. Finally, a third goal is to use ensemble-based sensitivity analysis to target observations for tropical...

Abstract Using the Database for Policy Decision‐Making Future Climate Change (d4PDF), this study examined impact of a tropical climate regime shift around 1998/1999 on explosive cyclone activity Japan in boreal winter, highlighting cyclones moving along Kuroshio Current (KC cyclones), especially northward‐migrating (N‐type, as defined Tsukijihara et al ., 2019) KC cyclones. Wave‐train patterns ...

5 [1] The assumption that tropical cyclones respond primarily to sea surface temperatures (SSTs) local to 6 their main development regions underlies much of the concern regarding the possible impacts of 7 anthropogenic greenhouse warming on tropical cyclone statistics. Here the observed relationship between 8 changes in sea surface temperature and tropical cyclone intensities in the Atlantic ba...

Improving a tropical cyclone's forecast and mitigating its destructive potential requires knowledge of various environmental factors that influence the cyclone's path and intensity. Herein, using a combination of observations and model simulations, we systematically demonstrate that tropical cyclone intensification is significantly affected by salinity-induced barrier layers, which are "quasi-p...

Introduction: Atmospheric dust plays an important role in regulating the climate of Mars and strongly influences the deposition of incoming solar energy and outgoing infrared radiation, thereby affecting atmospheric dynamics through heating. The lifting of dust from the surface is fundamentally a result of atmospheric circulations, and this provides an opportuntity for feedback between atmosphe...