The purpose of this paper is to investigate the role of exchange rate uncertainty in determining foreign direct R&D investment into the UK. We estimate an econometric model of FDI in R&D, using a panel of manufacturing industries. Our results suggest that an increase in the volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate tends to relocate R&D investment from the Euro Area into the UK. A rise in the...

We implement novel tests of general relative purchasing power parity (PPP), defined as a long-run unit elasticity of the nominal exchange rate with respect to relative national prices, allowing for potentially permanent real exchange rate shocks. The finite-sample properties of the estimators used are analyzed through Monte Carlo analysis, allowing for country heterogeneity, cross-sectional dep...

We estimate the exposure of emerging-market companies to fluctuations in their domestic exchange rates. We use an instrumental-variable approach that identifies the total exposure of a company to exchange-rate movements, yet abstracts from the influence of confounding macroeconomic shocks. We find the impact of depreciations on emerging-market stock returns is overwhelmingly negative. Since we ...

Numerous economic historians have suggested that institutions which supported contract enforcement were necessary for impersonal exchange to emerge in medieval Europe. Yet this literature cannot account for the bill of exchange, an important financial instrument that was legally enforced in both the medieval Islamic and Christian worlds but remained relegated to personal networks in only the fo...

If the future market wage is uncertain, engaging in long–term employment is risky, with the risk depending on how regulated the labor market is. In our experiment long– term employment can result either from offering long–term contracts or from repeatedly and mutually opting for rematching. Treatments differ in how regulations restrict the employer’s flexibility in adapting the employment contr...

s tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. this study investigates the effect of exchange rate volatility on the stock exchange returns of d8 countries. it takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. at first we used panel-garch model to estimate exchange rate volatility in...

The hypothesis that the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate has been consistently rejected in recent empirical studies. This paper examines several sources of measurement error and misspecification that might induce biases in such studies. Although previous inferences are shown to be robust to a failure to construct true returns and to omitted variable bias arising fro...

This paper studies how changes in oil supply expectations affect the price and macroeconomy. Using a novel identification design, exploiting institutional features of OPEC high-frequency data, I identify an news shock. These shocks have statistically economically significant effects. Negative leads to immediate increase prices, gradual fall production, inventories. has consequences for US econo...

We derive the optimal crowdfunding contract of a financially constrained monopolist and analyze its implications for production, investment and welfare. Crowdfunding contracts may serve as a price-discrimination mechanism, forcing pivotal consumers to pay a premium above the future spot price, thus increasing profits. When raising funds is costly, entrepreneurs balance the benefits from price d...

This paper proposes a dynamic politico-economic theory of intergenerational contracts, whose driving force is the intergenerational conflict over government spending. Embedding a repeated probabilistic voting setup in a standard OLG model with human capital accumulation, we find that the empowerment of elderly constituencies is key in order to enforce productive policies. The paper characterize...