We propose a stochastic model for the analysis of time series of disease counts as collected in typical surveillance systems on notifiable infectious diseases. The model is based on a Poisson or negative binomial observation model with two components: a parameter-driven component relates the disease incidence to latent parameters describing endemic seasonal patterns, which are typical for infec...

three subheadings including treatment, prevention and control and diagnosis methods got the most priorities, respectively. although about half of the priorities are related to two subheadings including treatment and diagnosis methods, research priorities of prevention and control methods (22% of all priorities) indicate the importance of prevention for clinicians who gave scores to the titles. ...

BACKGROUND Infectious diseases such as SARS and H1N1 can significantly impact people's lives and cause severe social and economic damages. Recent outbreaks have stressed the urgency of effective research on the dynamics of infectious disease spread. However, it is difficult to predict when and where outbreaks may emerge and how infectious diseases spread because many factors affect their transm...

BACKGROUND Infectious disease surveillance has recently seen many changes including rapid growth of informal surveillance, acting both as competitor and a facilitator to traditional surveillance, as well as the implementation of the revised International Health Regulations. The present study aims to compare outbreak reporting by formal and informal sources given such changes in the field. MET...

Introduction Syndromic surveillance system has been developed and implemented all over the world, and many studies showed that syndromic data sources had improved timeliness towards traditional surveillance method in the early warning of some infectious disease epidemics. However, owing to the uncertainties of disease epidemic features, clinical manifestations and population behaviors, the earl...

In the last decade, syndromic surveillance has increasingly been used worldwide for detecting increases or outbreaks of infectious diseases that might be missed by surveillance based on laboratory diagnoses and notifications by clinicians alone. There is, however, an ongoing debate about the feasibility of syndromic surveillance and its potential added value. Here we present our perspective on ...

Outbreaks of infectious diseases at mass gatherings can strain the health system of the host region and pose a threat to local and global health. In addition to strengthening existing surveillance systems, most host nations also use novel technologies to assess disease risk and augment traditional surveillance approaches. We review novel approaches to disease surveillance using the Internet, mo...

A GLOBAL HEALTH WHITE PAPER SERIES “Rapid trans boundary spread of infectious diseases, emerging infectious diseases, rising antimicrobial-drug resistance and the threat of bioterrorism are some of today’s most pressing global health security issues. Getting the basics right for infectious disease surveillance is now more pertinent than ever before. Yet in order for a surveillance system to con...

Using mortality data from National Institute of Statistics in Spain, we analyzed trends of infectious disease mortality rates in Spain during 1980-2011 to provide information on surveillance and control of infectious diseases. During the study period, 628,673 infectious disease-related deaths occurred, the annual change in the mortality rate was -1.6%, and the average infectious disease mortali...

L Byrne ([email protected])1, I Fisher1, T Peters2, A Mather3, N Thomson3, B Rosner4, H Bernard4, P McKeown5, M Cormican6, J Cowden7, V Aiyedun1, C Lane1, on behalf of the International Outbreak Control Team8 1. Gastrointestinal, Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Control, Public Health England, Colindale, London, United Kingdom 2. Gastrointesti...