نتایج جستجو برای: infinite time ruin probability
تعداد نتایج: 2102660 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
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We consider a risk model with threshold strategy, where the insurance company pays off a certain percentage of the income as dividend whenever the current surplus is larger than a given threshold. We investigate the ruin time, ruin probability, and the total dividend, using methods and results from queueing theory.
For a random walk with negative drift we study the exceedance probability (ruin probability) of a high threshold. The steps of this walk (claim sizes) constitute a stationary ergodic stable process. We study how ruin occurs in this situation and evaluate the asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability for a large variety of stationary ergodic stable processes. Our ndings show that the order of ...
We study the probability of ruin before time t for the family of tempered stable Lévy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution are derived via the Laplace transform of the asymptotic ruin time distribution, for which we have an explicit expression. These are benchmarked against simulations...
We give results on the probability of absorption at zero of the diffusion process Xt with X0 = K > 0 and non-Lipschitz diffusion coefficient σx , γ ∈ [ 1 2 , 1): dXt = μXtdt + σX γ t dBt relative to Brownian motion Bt. Our results give information on the time to ruin τ0 = inf{t : Xt = 0}. We show that P (τ0 ≤ T ) > 0 for all T , give the probability of ultimate ruin, and establish asymptotics i...
We study a family of diffusion models for risk reserves which account for the investment income earned and for the inflation experienced on claim amounts. After we defined the process of the conditional probability of ruin over finite time and imposed the appropriate boundary conditions, classical results from the theory of diffusion processes turn the stochastic differential equation to a spec...
In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance company). Modeling the risk processes of the insurance companies by Cramér-Lundberg processes we obtain the Laplace transform in space of the probability that ...
A finite horizon insurance model is studied where the risk/reserve process can be controlled by reinsurance and investment in the financial market. Our setting is innovative in the sense that we describe in a unified way the timing of the events, that is the arrivals of claims and the changes of the prices in the financial market, by means of a continuous-time Semi-Markov process (SMP) which ap...
In this paper we first consider the expectation of the total discounted claim costs up to the time of ruin, and then, more generally, we study the expectation of the total discounted operating costs up to the time of default, which is the first passage time of a surplus process downcrossing a given level. These two quantities include the expected discounted penalty function at ruin or the Gerbe...
We consider a risk model with threshold strategy, where the insurance company pays off a certain percentage of the income as dividend whenever the current surplus is larger than a given threshold. We investigate the ruin time, ruin probability and the total dividend, using methods and results from queueing theory.
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