نتایج جستجو برای: infinite time ruin probability

تعداد نتایج: 2102660  

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی - دانشکده اقتصاد 1389

در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...

2011
ONNO J. BOXMA

We consider a risk model with threshold strategy, where the insurance company pays off a certain percentage of the income as dividend whenever the current surplus is larger than a given threshold. We investigate the ruin time, ruin probability, and the total dividend, using methods and results from queueing theory.

1999
THOMAS MIKOSCH

For a random walk with negative drift we study the exceedance probability (ruin probability) of a high threshold. The steps of this walk (claim sizes) constitute a stationary ergodic stable process. We study how ruin occurs in this situation and evaluate the asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability for a large variety of stationary ergodic stable processes. Our ndings show that the order of ...

2013
Philip S. Griffin Ross A. Maller Dale Roberts

We study the probability of ruin before time t for the family of tempered stable Lévy insurance risk processes, which includes the spectrally positive inverse Gaussian processes. Numerical approximations of the ruin time distribution are derived via the Laplace transform of the asymptotic ruin time distribution, for which we have an explicit expression. These are benchmarked against simulations...

2009
F. KLEBANER

We give results on the probability of absorption at zero of the diffusion process Xt with X0 = K > 0 and non-Lipschitz diffusion coefficient σx , γ ∈ [ 1 2 , 1): dXt = μXtdt + σX γ t dBt relative to Brownian motion Bt. Our results give information on the time to ruin τ0 = inf{t : Xt = 0}. We show that P (τ0 ≤ T ) > 0 for all T , give the probability of ultimate ruin, and establish asymptotics i...

2002
S. SHAO

We study a family of diffusion models for risk reserves which account for the investment income earned and for the inflation experienced on claim amounts. After we defined the process of the conditional probability of ruin over finite time and imposed the appropriate boundary conditions, classical results from the theory of diffusion processes turn the stochastic differential equation to a spec...

2008
Florin Avram Martijn Pistorius

In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance company). Modeling the risk processes of the insurance companies by Cramér-Lundberg processes we obtain the Laplace transform in space of the probability that ...

Journal: :J. Applied Probability 2012
Rosario Romera Wolfgang J. Runggaldier

A finite horizon insurance model is studied where the risk/reserve process can be controlled by reinsurance and investment in the financial market. Our setting is innovative in the sense that we describe in a unified way the timing of the events, that is the arrivals of claims and the changes of the prices in the financial market, by means of a continuous-time Semi-Markov process (SMP) which ap...

2009
JUN CAI RUNHUAN FENG GORDON E. WILLMOT

In this paper we first consider the expectation of the total discounted claim costs up to the time of ruin, and then, more generally, we study the expectation of the total discounted operating costs up to the time of default, which is the first passage time of a surplus process downcrossing a given level. These two quantities include the expected discounted penalty function at ruin or the Gerbe...

2017
ONNO J. BOXMA

We consider a risk model with threshold strategy, where the insurance company pays off a certain percentage of the income as dividend whenever the current surplus is larger than a given threshold. We investigate the ruin time, ruin probability and the total dividend, using methods and results from queueing theory.

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