Increasingly, policymakers look to the small business sector as a potential engine of economic growth. Policies to promote small businesses include tax relief, direct subsidies, and indirect subsidies through government lending programs. Encouraging lending to small business is the primary policy objective of the Small Business Administration’s (SBA) loan-guarantee program. Using a panel data s...

In this paper, I find that real U.S. GDP is better characterized as a trend stationary Markov-switching process than as having a (regime-dependent) unit root. I examine the effects of both assumptions on the analysis of business cycle features and their implications for the persistence of the dynamic response of output to a random disturbance. JEL Classification: E32, C22, E27.

â â â â â â â â â â â  the recent global crisis, as a big crash ( baldwin and simon , 2009), has reduced foreign demand growth affecting total countries’ exports. given the importance of foreign trade to nations and the reality that recent crisis has affected international trade we study the effects of the global financial crisis on trade relations between countries by using ma and cheng (200...

This paper uses a structural, large dimensional factor model to evaluate the role of ‘news’ shocks (shocks with a delayed effect on productivity) in generating the business cycle. We find that (i) existing small-scale VECM models are affected by ‘non-fundamentalness’ and therefore fail to recover the correct shock and impulse response functions; (ii) news shocks have a limited role in explainin...

This study shows that annual output data of the G7 countries in the twentieth century are better characterized as transitory deviations from a (shifting) growth trend than as integrated processes. Furthermore, I find no two countries share common business cycles. JEL classification: C22, E32, 057

Using a multi-period general equilibrium model, this paper extends the results of Mankiw (1991) by showing that monopolistically competitive firms may require ‘relatively large’ menu costs to dissuade them from changing prices in response to an aggregate demand shock that is perceived to be permanent. Thus, “small” menu costs may be insufficient to contribute to large business cycles. JEL Class...

The Economy of Iran faces many challenges and is predicted to have a negative growth of 1.3 percent, unemployment of above 13 percent, and a wild inflation rate of 27.2 percent in 2013. Various external conditions and bad economic planning have contributed to Iran’s current economic difficulties. To transform the Economy of Iran, the 5th Five-year Development Plan (FYDP) and the 20-year vi...

Abstract Background Electrophysiological techniques have been used for discriminating myoclonus from other hyperkinetic movement disorders and classifying the subtype. This study was carried out on patients with different subtypes of to determine electrophysiological characteristics anatomical classification etiologies. included 20 compared 30 control participants. all by somatosensory evoked p...

Early COVID-19 presence and related deaths in Turkish cities can be explained by their international trade volume. Trade with China has a higher impact on the pandemic against total of cities. The ordering between imports, exports varies depending stage pandemic. As were sealed off many countries, continuing country increasing case numbers. Key Words: COVID-19, City-level Data Analysis, Interna...

Synchronization of growth rates are an important feature of international business cycles, particularly in relation to regional integration projects such as the single currency in Europe. Synchronization of growth rates clearly enhances the e¤ectiveness of European Central Bank monetary policy, ensuring that policy changes are attuned to the dynamics of growth and business cycles in the majorit...