The real exchange rate real interest rate (RERI) relationship is central to most open economy macroeconomic models. However, empirical support for the relationship, especially when cointegrationbased methods are used, is rather weak. In this paper we reinvestigate the RERI relationship using bilateral real exchange rate data spanning the period 1978 to 1997. We first clarify the logic of applyi...

We show how temporal aggregation affects the size and power of the DOLS residualbased KPSS test of the null of cointegration. Size is effectively controlled by setting the minimum number of leads equal to one – as opposed to zero – when selecting the lag/lead order of the DOLS regression, but at a cost to power in finite samples. If highfrequency data for one or more series are available, we sh...

Cointegration analysis has led to equilibrium-correction econometric systems being ubiquitous. But in a non-stationary world subject to structural breaks, where model and mechanism differ, equilibrium-correction models are a risky device from which to forecast. Equilibrium shifts entail systematic forecast failure, as forecasts will tend to move in the opposite direction to data. We explain the...

In this paper we describe a method for testing the null of no cointegration in dynamic panels with multiple regressors and compute approximate critical values for these tests. Methods for non-stationary panels, including panel unit root and panel cointegration tests, have been gaining increased acceptance in recent empirical research. To date, however, tests for the null of no cointegration in ...

Coe and Helpman (1995) estimated a relationship between TFP and levels of domestic and foreign R&D capital, but couldn't provide compelling evidence of the panel eointegration needed to support their estimation strategy. This paper uses Pedroni's (1997, 1998) tests for panel cointegration in both the Coe-Helpman setup and in a framework with more cross-section heterogeneity. Criticisms of the C...

This paper explores the causal relationship between economic growth, trade openness and energy consumption using data of 15 Asian countries. The study covers the period of 1980–2011. We have applied panel cointegration and causality approaches to examine the long-run and causal relationship between variables. Empirical results confirm the presence of cointegration between variables. The impact ...

We use meta analytic combination procedures to develop new tests for panel cointegration. The main idea consists in combining p-values from time series cointegration tests on the different units of the panel. The tests are robust to heterogeneity as well as to cross-sectional dependence between the different units of the panel. To achieve the latter, we employ a sieve bootstrap procedure with j...

this paper investigates the impact of oil revenues on the output of economic sectors in some of oil exporting countries including iran, venezuela and mexico. we use cointegration analysis as well as short run and long run granger casualties' tests. the results show that in the long run, an oil boom leads to expansion of service sector, in these countries. also, the impacts of oil revenues ...

the objective of this study is to estimate the demand for money in iran using the autoregressive distributed lag (ardl) approach to cointegration analysis. the empirical results show that there is a unique cointegrated and stable long-run relationship among m1 monetary aggregate, income, inflation and exchange rate. we find that the income elasticity and exchange rate coefficients are positive ...

In this paper we estimate the demand for exports and imports of manufactured goods for a panel containing the majority of the EU countries as well as the US and Japan. The model includes as explanatory factors both the traditional determinants of trade and also the stock of foreign direct investment (FDI). We apply panel unit root and cointegration tests allowing for heterogeneity. Whereas ther...