A class of probability models for earthquake occurrences, called shortterm exciting, long-term correcting (SELC) models, is presented. This class encompasses features of two different classes of models presently used in hazard analysis to characterize earthquake catalogs: (1) self-exciting models and (2) self-correcting models. It offers the potential for a unified approach to the analysis and ...

By using the method of the visibility graph (VG) the synthetic seismicity generated by a simple stick-slip system with asperities is analysed. The stick-slip system mimics the interaction between tectonic plates, whose asperities are given by sandpapers of different granularity degrees. The VG properties of the seismic sequences have been put in relationship with the typical seismological param...

Earthquakes far from tectonic plate boundaries generally exploit ancient faults, but not all intraplate faults are equally active. The North American Great Plains exemplify such intraplate earthquake localization, with both natural and induced seismicity generally clustered in discrete zones. Here we use seismic velocity, gravity and topography to generate a 3D lithospheric density model of the...

This paper deals with the development of loading protocols appropriate for cyclic testing in regions of low to moderate seismicity in Europe. To serve this goal, cumulative damage demands imposed by a set of 60 ground motion records, representative of a European moderate seismicity region for the 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years seismic hazard level, on a wide variety of SDOF systems ar...

We introduce a statistical methodology for clustering analysis of seismicity in the time-space-energy domain and use it to establish the existence of two statistically distinct populations of earthquakes: clustered and nonclustered. This result can be used, in particular, for nonparametric aftershock identification. The proposed approach expands the analysis of Baiesi and Paczuski [Phys. Rev. E...

[1] Earthquakes and the faults upon which they occur interact over a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. In addition, many aspects of regional seismicity appear to be stochastic both in space and time. However, within this complexity, there is considerable self-organization. We argue that the occurrence of earthquakes is a problem that can be attacked using the fundamentals of statistica...

China is a country of intense intracontinental seismicity. Most earthquakes in western China occur within the diffuse Indo-Eurasian plate-boundary zone, which extends thousands of kilometers into Asia. Earthquakes in eastern China mainly occur within the North China block, which is part of the Archean Sino-Korean craton that has been thermally rejuvenated since late Mesozoic. Here, we summarize...

Title: A Preliminary Study on the Relation Between Polar Wandering and Seismicity

This article explores the problem of short-term earthquake prediction based on spatio-temporal variations of seismicity. Previous approaches to this problem have used precursory seismicity patterns that precede large earthquakes with "intermediate" lead times of years. Examples include increases of earthquake correlation range and increases of seismic activity. Here, we look for a renormalizati...

We investigate on the capability of the strongest earthquakes to modify significantly the seismicity in a wide spatio-temporal window. In particular, we show that the strongest earthquakes of last century were probably able to influence the seismicity at large spatio-temporal distances, extending their reach over thousand of kilometers and decades later. We report statistically significant diff...