We model international trade in renewable resources between a single buyer and competitive sellers as a Stackelberg differential game. The buyer uses unit and ad valorem tariffs to indirectly encourage conservation of the renewable resource under study. First, we show that the efficacy of these trade policy instruments in promoting conservation depends fundamentally on whether harvesting costs ...

in this paper, we have estimated the memory of thetehran stock exchange indices. the estimation of fractional differencing parameter is carried out by various methods such as mle, nls, hurst exponent, gph, lo, whittle and wavelet. the estimation results of whittle, wavelet, hurst, and lo methods allow us to conclude that the returns on stock indices (tepix, tedpix, tedix, financial index and in...

OBJECTIVE To characterize the impact of widespread inventory management policies on stock-outs of essential drugs in Zambia's health clinics and develop related recommendations. METHODS Daily clinic storeroom stock levels of artemether-lumefantrine (AL) products in 2009-2010 were captured in 145 facilities through photography and manual transcription of paper forms, then used to determine his...

This paper examines the out-of-sample performance of various financial variables as predictors of U.S. recessions. Series such as interest rates and spreads, stock prices, and monetary aggregates are evaluated individually and in comparison with other financial and nonfinancial indicators. The analysis focuses on out-of-sample performance from one to eight quarters ahead. Results show that stoc...

This study examines the dynamic relationships between stock market performance and the interest rates in Sri Lanka during June 2004 to April 2011. We use all share price index in the Colombo stock exchange as a measure of stock market performance indicator and Sri Lanka interbank offer rate as a measure of interest rate. We employ some conventional time series econometric techniques namely Unit...

T paper seeks to quantify the long-term financial impact of negative word of mouth (NWOM), an issue that has long challenged extant research. We do so with real-world data on firm security prices. The developed time-series models innovatively uncover (1) shortand long-term effects of NWOM on cash flows, stock returns, and stock volatilities, and (2) NWOM’s “wear-in” effects (i.e., it takes a nu...

Quantitative stock selection has become a research hotspot in the field of investment decision. As the data mining technology becomes mature, quantitative stock selection has made great progress. From the perspective of value investment, this paper selects top 200 stocks of A share in terms of market value. With the random forest (RF), financial characteristic variables with significant impact ...

Statistical model selection criteria provide an informed choice of the model with best external (i.e., out-of-sample) validity. Therefore they guard against overfitting (“data snooping”). We implement several model selection criteria in order to verify recent evidence of predictability in excess stock returns and to determine which variables are valuable predictors. We confirm the presence of i...

-It has been a stock trader’s dream to do stock trading by switching from one stock to another while buying at bottoms and selling at tops. This paper investigates the effectiveness and the practicability of such a trading model. For a learning system, nothing is more influential than the data to learn. Any data, whether it is in-sample or out-of-sample, is intrinsically particular. It is typic...