We use computer-intensive techniques to study the informational properties of forward-looking disclosures in the MD&A sections of 10-K filings made with the SEC. We find that firms make more forward-looking MD&A disclosures when their stock prices have lower informational efficiency, i.e., when their stock prices poorly reflect future earnings information. The greater levels of forward-looking ...

The analysis of monetary policy impact via interest rate as instrument of intervention on the evolution of stock market prices has gained more popularity during the current crisis due to the accumulation of financial imbalances. This article investigates the impact of monetary policy on equity indexes in European Union countries from January 2000 to February 2012, using cointegration and Grange...

During the late 1990s high technology growth stock prices were raised to unprecedented levels by avid stock purchasers around the world. In early 2000, share prices subsequently underwent prolonged declines, leaving many purchasers with devastating losses. This article reviews some aspects of the history of the St. Petersburg paradox and some related games. We recount a remarkable article by Du...

Investors in stock market are usually greedy during bull markets and scared during bear markets. The greed or fear spreads across investors quickly. This is known as the herding effect, and often leads to a fast movement of stock prices. During such market regimes, stock prices change at a super-exponential rate and are normally followed by a trend reversal that corrects the previous overreacti...

The aim of this paper is to examine the interaction between stock prices and exchange rates in Australia. During the period of the study, the value of the stock market increased by two-thirds and the Australian dollar exchange rate appreciated by almost one-third. The empirical analysis employed provides evidence of a positive co-integrating relationship between these variables, with Granger ca...

In this paper, I examine the effects of money supply, aggregate spending, and aggregate supply shocks on real US stock prices in a structural vector autoregression framework. Overall, the empirical results indicate that each macro shock has important effects on real stock prices. The real stock price impulse responses to the various macro shocks conform to the standard present-value equity valu...

This paper explores why IPO volume changes over time and how it relates to stock prices. We develop a model of optimal IPO timing in which IPO volume °uctuates due to time variation in market conditions. IPO waves in our model are caused by declines in expected market return, increases in expected aggregate pro ̄tability, or increases in prior uncertainty about the average future pro ̄tability of...

We propose a concept of intraday overreaction characterized by intraday price movements which are corrected within the same trading day. It is a concept of relative overreaction in the sense that the price range within a trading day is large in comparison with the openclose return volatility. As a one-sided concept it allows to distinguish between upward and downward overreaction. A test for ov...

Abstract: It is very important to minimize the risk in portfolio selection. For minimizing risk of portfolio at a given expected returns, it is efficient to compose portfolio with stocks which have low cross-correlation among them. In this regard, forecasting the cross-correlations among stock prices has attracted much interest among investors and financial market researchers. Most of studies i...

The Stock market forecasters focus on developing a successful approach to predict stock prices. The vital idea to successful stock market prediction is not only achieving best results but also to minimize the inaccurate forecast of stock prices. This paper attempts to design and implement a predictive system for guiding stock market investment. The novelty of our approach is the combination of ...