Strong Eastern-Pacific type El Niño (EP-El Niño) events have significant impacts on the decaying-summer precipitation over East Asia (EA). It has been demonstrated that frequency of strong EP-El Niños will increase and associated become more severe complex under future high emission scenarios. In this study, using simulations CMIP5 CMIP6, changes summer pattern related to during its decay phase...

Abstract This study generates a daily temperature and precipitation dataset over Vietnam at high resolution of 0.1° for the historical period 1980–2005 future 2006–2100 under four representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5. The bias correction (BC) spatial disaggregation (SD) method is applied to outputs 31 global climate models (GCMs) Coupled Mo...

The influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) is investigated based outputs phase 6 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) models and compared to that in 5 (CMIP5). Results show overall CMIP6 reproduce ENSO-EAWM teleconnection more realistically than CMIP5 models, although they still somewhat underestimate observed. Based intermodel spread s...

Abstract This study investigates the occurrence of Weddell Sea polynya under an idealized climate change scenario by evaluating simulations from models different ocean resolutions. The GFDL-CM2.6 model, with roughly 3.8-km horizontal grid spacing in high latitudes, forms a at similar time and duration forcing as preindustrial forcing. In contrast, all convective forming phase 5 Coupled Model In...

The mean states and future projections of precipitation over the monsoon transitional zone (MTZ) in China are examined based on historical climate change projection simulations from phase 5 6 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 CMIP6, respectively). Ensemble means CMIP6 models exhibit a clear improvement capturing annual seasonal cycle MTZ, both its spatial pattern magnitude, compared ...

Projections of Arctic sea ice thickness (SIT) have the potential to inform stakeholders about accessibility to the region, but are currently rather uncertain. The latest suite of CMIP5 global climate models (GCMs) produce a wide range of simulated SIT in the historical period (1979–2014) and exhibit various biases when compared with the Pan-Arctic Ice–Ocean Modelling and Assimilation System (PI...

Climate models predict a large range of possible future temperatures for a particular scenario of future emissions of greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic forcings of climate. Given that further warming in coming decades could threaten increasing risks of climatic disruption, it is important to determine whether model projections are consistent with temperature changes already observed. Thi...

Global mean surface temperatures are rising in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The magnitude of this warming at equilibrium for a given radiative forcing-referred to as specific equilibrium climate sensitivity (S)-is still subject to uncertainties. We estimate global mean temperature variations and S using a 784,000-year-long field reconstruction of sea surface temperatures ...