Can there be deterministic chance? That is, can there be objective chance values other than 0 or 1, in a deterministic world? I will argue that the answer is no. In a deterministic world, the only function that can play the role of chance is one that outputs just 0s and 1s. The role of chance involves connections from chance to credence, possibility, time, intrinsicness, lawhood, and causation....

Despite concerted efforts by Carnap and others, including recently by Jon Williamson in an objective Bayesian setting, no satisfying philosophical justification for learning from experience has been produced thus far. I contend that finitude constraints imposed by our world on even otherwise-ideal agents suggest a new epistemic principle, Illusory Chance, which provides justification for learni...

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 PIC 1 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 2 No. 81 8 11 7 47 94 00 18 8 18 257 16 51 08 42 81 12 2 215 75 8 257 59 90 96 71 59 7 01 310 49 97 48 28 18R 881 51 Class FB FB SP FB FS FS F500 ESP CF ITS SU SPU SSP CSP ITB BSP GT1 GT2 BSP ITA CSP SSP STL FV BSP EP E...

Blindsight and other examples of unconscious knowledge and perception demonstrate dissociations between judgment accuracy and metacognition: Studies reveal that participants' judgment accuracy can be above chance while their confidence ratings fail to discriminate right from wrong answers. Here, we demonstrated the opposite dissociation: a reliable relationship between confidence and judgment a...