Une crédibilité minimale de la banque centrale, avec une probabilité non nulle ne pas revenir sur son engagement, est condition nécessaire pour ancrer les anticipations d’inflation et garantir le retour l’inflation vers sa cible long terme. En revanche, l’absence complète crédibilité, certitude que centrale reviendra engagement (« discrétion optimale »), implique bifurcation dynamique des traje...

The present paper deals with the problems regarding the persuasive computational technique. While the notion of persuasion is somewhat conventional in the psychology and pedagogy, the application research in the computing system is relatively young and still establishing its basic tenets. The aim of this research is to examine the persuasive intervention type and to thereby explore the feasible...

BACKGROUND The 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan caused a meltdown at the Fukushima nuclear power plant. AIMS To quantify emotional responses among British nationals in Japan and to assess whether perceptions about the incident or accessing information about it were associated with responses. METHOD A total of 284 participants randomly selected from official records completed a survey th...

In this paper we follow the same general ideology as in [Gammerman et al., 1998], and describe a new transductive learning algorithm using Support Vector Machines. The algorithm presented provides confidence values for its predicted classifications of new examples. We also obtain a measure of “credibility” which serves as an indicator of the reliability of the data upon which we make our predic...

In practice, some special LR fuzzy numbers, like the triangular fuzzy number, the Gaussian fuzzy number and the Cauchy fuzzy number, are widely used in many areas to deal with various vague information. With regard to these special LR fuzzy numbers, called regular LR fuzzy numbers in this paper, an operational law is proposed for fuzzy arithmetic, providing a novel approach to analytically and ...

This paper has reviewed theoretical and empirical studies on information credibility with particular questions of how scholars have conceptualized credibility that is known as a multifaceted concept with underlying dimensions; how credibility has been operationalized and measured in empirical studies, especially in the Web context; what are the important user characteristics that contribute to ...

Using a Markov-switching Bayesian likelihood approach, the paper proposes a new measure of the degree of credibility of the Federal Reserve. We estimate a medium-scale macroeconomic model, where the central bank has access to a commitment technology, but where a regime-switching process governs occasional re-optimizations of announced plans. The framework nests the commonly used discretion and ...

The reliability of a system is often referred to as a quality index reflecting the capability of the system to complete the specified function within specified time in reasonably satisfactory manner under the specified conditions (including hard conditions: say, operating environments, input materials and soft conditions: say, system management and operator team, and computerized monitoring ato...