We study the difference between loan sales and credit default swaps. A bank lends money to an entrepreneur to undertake a positive NPV project. After the loan has been made, the bank finds out if the project benefits from monitoring and if it should sell the loan to release regulatory capital. A bank can lay off credit risk by either selling the loan or by buying credit insurance through a cred...

We propose a dynamically consistent framework that allows joint valuation and estimation of stock options and credit default swaps written on the same reference company. We model default as controlled by a Poisson process with a stochastic default arrival rate. When default occurs, the stock price drops to zero. Prior to default, the stock price follows a continuous process with stochastic vola...

This paper examines the quality of credit ratings issued by the three major credit rating agencies Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch. If credit ratings are informative, then prices of underlying credit instruments such as fixed-income securities and credit default insurance should change to reflect the new credit risk information. Using data on 246 different major fixed-income securities i...

We examine the relationships between credit default swap (CDS) premiums and bond yield spreads for nine emerging market sovereign borrowers. We find that these two measures of credit risk deviate considerably in the short run, due to factors such as liquidity and contract specifications, but we estimate a stable long-term equilibrium relationship for most countries. In particular, CDS premiums ...

Abstract We use BERT, an AI-based algorithm for language understanding, to quantify regulatory climate risk disclosures and analyze their impact on the term structure in credit default swap (CDS) market. Risk can either increase or decrease CDS spreads, depending whether disclosure reveals new risks reduces uncertainty. Training BERT differentiate between transition physical risks, we find that...

Credit Default Swap (CDS) spread is a realistic measure of credit risk. Changes in the spreads showcase changes underlying uncertainty or volatility regarding risk, associated with asset class. We use Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) to further investigate presence asymmetries and difference between Greece G7 countries terms have considered 2587 daily observations for each 4...

A credit default swap (CDS) contract provides insurance against default. After a country defaults, the country and its lenders usually negotiate over the share of the defaulted debt to be repaid. This paper incorporates CDS contracts into a sovereign default model and demonstrates that the existence of a CDS market results in lower default probability, higher debt levels, and lower nancing cost...

A general and efficient method for valuing credit derivatives based on multiple entities is developed in an affine framework. This includes interdependence of market and credit risk, joint credit migration and counterparty default risk of multiple firms. As an application we provide closed form expressions for the joint distribution of default times, default correlations, and default swap sprea...

Using a large data set on credit default swaps, we study how default risk interacts with interest-rate risk and liquidity risk to jointly determine the term structure of credit spreads. We classify the reference companies into two broad industry sectors, two broad credit rating classes, and two liquidity groups. We develop a class of dynamic term structure models that include (i) two benchmark ...