This paper analyzes the ability of both economic variables and moving-average rules to forecast the monthly U.S. equity premium using out-of-sample tests for 1960–2008. Both approaches provide statistically and economically significant out-of-sample forecasting gains, which are concentrated in U.S. business-cycle recessions. Nevertheless, economic variables and moving-average rules capture diff...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact critical macroeconomic drivers like economic growth (gross domestic product (GDP)/capita), inflation and population size on mortality rate Nigeria. general lockdown imposed by government curb spread coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has had so many effects loss jobs, insecurity, businesses collapsing, salary cuts, unemployment inc...

the relationship between financial development and economic growth in order to give priority to policies that will lead to financial development or addressing other economic priorities to achieve economic growth has attracted the attention of many economics. nonlinear models of causality and causal relationships between variables in the modification of variables in different regimes exist, why ...