This paper uses minute-by-minute British electricity demand observations to evaluate methods for prediction from 10 to 30 minutes ahead. Such very short lead times are important for the real-time scheduling of electricity generation. We consider methods designed to capture both the intraday and the intraweek seasonal cycles in the data, including ARIMA modelling, an adaptation of Holt-Winters e...

Abstract—The aim of this paper is to select the most accurate forecasting method for predicting the future values of the unemployment rate in selected European countries. In order to do so, several forecasting techniques adequate for forecasting time series with trend component, were selected, namely: double exponential smoothing (also known as Holt`s method) and Holt-Winters` method which acco...

Abstract—The aim of this paper is to select the most accurate forecasting method for predicting the future values of the unemployment rate in selected European countries. In order to do so, several forecasting techniques adequate for forecasting time series with trend component, were selected, namely: double exponential smoothing (also known as Holt`s method) and Holt-Winters` method which acco...

Elasticity is one of the key features of cloud computing that attracts many SaaS providers to minimize their services’ cost. Cost is minimized by automatically provision and release computational resources depend on actual computational needs. However, delay of starting up new virtual resources can cause Service Level Agreement violation. Consequently, predicting cloud resources provisioning ga...

Inventory control systems typically require the frequent updating of forecasts for many different products. In addition to point predictions, interval forecasts are needed to set appropriate levels of safety stock. The series considered in this paper are characterised by high volatility and skewness, which are both time-varying. These features motivate the consideration of forecasting methods t...

Creating an immersive experience in a collaborative virtual environment, or CVE, involves more than just high definition graphics and expensive hardware. An immersive experience requires participant’s input to be translated in a timely fashion to the local environment as well as to others connected across the internet. A well designed prediction algorithm will reduce the lag caused by virtual e...

Ada banyak sekali persaingan dagang yang terjadi dalam penjualan benang. Makin banyaknya kompetitor ada membuat berbagai perusahaan harus siap segala kemungkinan penjualan. Salah satunuya bagaimana bisa merubah kebiasan tanpa arah menjadi berkemungkinan baik. satunya adalah dengan menggunakan teknik peramalan/ forecasting Peramalan tentunya memberikan gambaran mendekati nilai sesunguhnya akan d...

Perencanaan akademik di Universitas Buana Perjuangan Karawang menjadi hal yang penting untuk dilakukan, karena perencanaan dibutuhkan mempersiapkan segala kebutuhan kegiatan perkuliahan selama tahun ajaran baru berlangsung. Namun ini sangat sulit dilakukan tidak adanya prediksi dari jumlah mahasiswa acuan dalam akademik. Untuk memudahkan maka diperlukan suatu peramalan baru. Peramalan digunakan...