Granger (Granger, C.W.J., 1969. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37, 424–438.) defined causality between two variables X and Y in terms of predictability. A difficulty with this definition is that it is restricted to one-step ahead prediction. In the presence of a third environment variable Z the non-causality properties depend on the...

This paper analyses three Granger noncausality hypotheses within a conditionally Gaussian MS-VAR model. Noncausality in mean is based on Granger’s original concept for linear predictors by defining noncausality from the 1-step ahead forecast error variance for the conditional expectation. Noncausality in mean-variance concerns the conditional forecast error variance, while noncausality in distr...

Using a sample of province-level panel data, this paper investigates the Granger causality associations among economic growth (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI) and CO2 emissions in China. By applying the bootstrap Granger panel causality approach (Kónya, 2006), we consider both cross-sectional dependence and homogeneity of different regions in China. The empirical results support that the ...

This paper examines the relationship between firm performance and ownership structure for listed and OTC manufacturing firms in Taiwan. By classifying ownership into three categories (managerial owners, institutional owners and the control group), the study addresses two related empirical issues—the commonly examined piecewise and the Granger causality relationships between ownership and perfor...

The present paper is aimed at studying the nature of the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables in India, if any such relationship exists. For this purpose the techniques of unit– root tests, cointegration and the Granger causality test have been applied between the NSE Index ‘Nifty’ and the macroeconomic variables, viz., Real effective economic rate (REER), Foreig...

This paper introduces a kernel-based non-parametric inferential procedure to test for Granger causality in distribution. This test is a multivariate extension of the kernel-based Granger causality test in tail event introduced by Hong, Liu, and Wang (2009). The main advantage of this test is its ability to examine a large number of lags, with higher-order lags discounted. In addition, our test ...

This paper examines empirically the tourism impact on the long-run economic growth of Greece by using the causality analysis among real gross domestic product, real effective exchange rate and international tourism earnings. A multivariate autoregressive VAR model is applied for the examined period 1960:Ι – 2000:IV. The results of cointegration analysis suggested that there is one cointegrated ...

Despite the increasing number of bug analysis tools for exploring bugs in software systems, there are no tools supporting the investigation of causality relationships between internal quality metrics and bugs. In this paper, we propose an extension of the BugMaps tool called BugMaps-Granger that allows the analysis of source code properties that caused bugs. For this purpose, we relied on Grang...