How does a surprise movement in stock market volatility affect our forecasts of future output across countries? This paper studies the time series and cross-sectional responses of output to variation in stock market volatility across 27 countries over 40 years, controlling for a number of country-specific characteristics. High levels of stock market volatility are detrimental to future output g...

Since the emergence of power market, the target of power generating utilities has mainly switched from cost minimization to revenue maximization. They dispatch their power energy generation units in the uncertain environment of power market. As a result, multi-stage stochastic programming has been applied widely by many power generating agents as a suitable tool for dealing with self-scheduling...

This study examines the effect of earnings pressure on firms’ strategic behavior in output competition. We argue that firms facing earnings pressure will attempt to increase current profits to meet analysts’ forecasts by exploiting market power opportunities in their product markets, even at the risk of encouraging future entry and rival expansion. In commodity industries, this behavior will le...

Macroeconomic Volatilities and the Labor Market: First Results from the Euro Experiment This paper analyzes the effects of different labor market institutions on inflation and output volatility. The eurozone offers an unprecedented experiment for this exercise: since 1999, no national monetary policies have been implemented that could account for volatility differences across member states, but...

The new paradigm in monetary policymaking gives accent to central banks‘ Independence. It is widely accepted that in modern monetary policymaking, central banks have three key goals: price stability, output stability and financial stability. Recent studies on central bank independence mainly investigate the effects of central bank independence on economic stability. But the effectiveness of cen...

the stock evaluation process plays an important role in portfolio selection because it is the prerequisite for investment and directly influences on the stock allocation. this paper presents a methodology based on data envelopment analysis for portfolio selection, decision making units which can be stocks or other financial assets. first, dmus efficiencies are computed based on input/output com...

The Hall-Roeger methodology for the testing of market power is applied to Irish manufacturing industries for the period 1991-1999. The paper adapts their methodology to permit discrimination between input and output-price-based sources of market power. The empirical results do not indicate much evidence of significant imperfect competition in output markets but the results do point to evidence ...

In his book on “Market Microstructure” Spulber presented some strange results with respect to the impact of the substitutability parameter in an intermediation model with differentiated products and inputs. Intuitively, effects in the product and the input market should be similar: if firms become more homogeneous, they loose market power, which should yield lower bid-ask-spreads and higher out...

The energy shocks of the 1970's had significant effects on the global economy. Were they engineered by an effective cartel of OPEC members acting to share the market by controlling output and influencing market prices? If OPEC was an effective cartel sharing the market among its members, there would be a long-run relationship between each member's individual production and total OPEC output. On...