We estimate the Dollar exposure of German DAX corporations. Our results are based on a new time-variant, APT-based and panel econometric extension of the exchange rate exposure model in the tradition of Adler and Dumas (1984) and Jorion (1990). Our stock market data consist of 28 performance indices of German DAX corporations. We include macroeconomic risk factors, and data on export and import...

This research journal discusses the analysis of managing transaction exposure using hedging techniques in multinational companies. The purpose this is to analyze management case study company PT. Pertamina. problem solver from regarding with used by PERTAMINA. method descriptive quantitative research. form written notes, typed interview transcripts, or video and audio recordings that contain da...

Priced level, slope, and volatility risk factors recently proposed in the finance literature help explain long-standing puzzles related to the cross-section of carry trade returns. In this paper, we examine whether the information contained in these global factors allows foreign exchange market speculators in individual currencies to successfully time the direction of their carry trades, both w...

This paper explores a model of bond prices where agents have diverse prior beliefs about domestic and foreign inflation. In the long run, the foreign exchange forward premium reflects expected differences in inflation, but in the short run, it depends upon the diversity of prior beliefs. If some people have diffuse priors about a country’s inflation process, then its currency commands a forward...

In a managed floating exchange rate regime, one of the most important issues is the degree to which the monetary authorities intervene in the foreign exchange market.  The appropriate level of intervention in the foreign exchange market can be discussed in a framework which emphasizes the trade-off between changes in the country’s level of international reserves and minimizes the country’s real...

This paper develops a model of the black market for foreign exchange in which black market currency is demanded and supplied by tirms engaged in smuggling. It is demonstrated that quotas or foreign exchange rationing are not necessary to induce the coexistence of legal and black foreign exchange markets. Variants of the model analyze the implications of capital flight, unbalanced trade, quotas,...

When asset returns are normally distributed the risk of an asset over a long return interval may be estimated by scaling the risk from shorter return intervals. While it is well known that asset returns are not normally distributed a key empirical question concerns the effect that scaling the volatility of dependent processes will have on the pricing of related financial assets. This study prov...

The Israeli government borrows internally and externally, and the Bank of Israel invests the foreign exchanges in various currencies. The borrowing interest rate is generally higher than the lending rate. In addition, the reserves are invested in relatively short-maturity safe assets, while borrowing is for relatively long maturities. This paper studies the structure of the government’s externa...