this paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run granger non–causality test proposed by toda and yamamoto (1995). we test the causal relationships between the tepix index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

Abstract This paper examines factors affecting happiness using panel data concerning 58 countries during 2003-2011. Happiness data come in the form of answers to questions such as "How happy are you as a whole in your life?" and the answers range from 1 to 5transformed to obtain a 1-10 scale. Macroeconomics data are from MIT and World Bank 2012 tables. Including 215 total pool observations indi...

The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between increasing inequality and financial fragility in an agent based macroeconomic model. We analyse the effects of a non-linear relationship between wealth and consumption on the evolution of the economic system. Preliminary results show that more inequality rises macroeconomic volatility, increasing the likelihood of observing large ...

â â â  â â â  abstract â  using a structural var with block exogeneity, diagonality and identifying restrictions, this paper analyzes: first, the macroeconomic linkages among the oil price, u.s. output, interest rate, money supply, general price level and exchange rate and second, the relationships of the macroeconomic variables with the price indices of ten international nonfuel commodity grou...

We demonstrate the impact of macroeconomic risk on the investment decisions of firms with risky debt and the costs of debt overhang. Debt overhang stems from the transfer between equity holders and debt holders after investment is made. The cyclicality of a firm’s assets in place and its growth options affects when such transfers are likely to occur and how much they can be, which provides a ra...

The main macroeconomic challenges at the early stages of Vietnam’s economic reforms were related to stability and growth. The main achievements of Doi Moi are also related to the success in meeting these two challenges: Vietnam has managed to combine high growth with reasonable price stability since the early 1990s. However, meeting these challenges has become more difficult over time as new ch...

The Dungey and Pitchford (DP) paper and the Debelle and Vickery (DV) paper are important contributions to the macroeconomic analysis of unemployment in Australia. Both papers focus on the question of what macroeconomic factors would reduce unemployment in Australia. Both papers use a rigorous theoretical framework as a basis for developing empirical relationships between unemployment, economic ...

Macroeconomic forecasts enable the policy-makers to foresee the future economic trends and take prompt measures to ensure longer economic growth and quicker economic recovery. Accurate and timely macroeconomic forecasts may also help the enterprises to make better long-term business strategies. Social media has a swift and sensitive response to economic dynamics through online news reports, int...

Labour Market Institutions and Macroeconomic Shocks* Macroeconomic shocks and labour-market institutions jointly determine employment growth and economic performance. The effect of shocks depends on the nature of these institutions, and the effect of institutional change depends on the macroeconomic environment. It follows that a given set of institutions may be appropriate in one epoch and not...

This paper tests empirically the Dutch disease macroeconomic dynamics in a set of oil exporting countries. Accordingly, this study was put forth to provide an assessment of the Dutch disease symptoms, by focusing on the link between macroeconomic instability indicators and economic growth. To this end, we assess the risk to real exchange rate, government spending and price stability from the oi...