This paper explores the hypothesis that high volatility of real and nominal exchange rates may be due to the fact that local currency pricing eliminates the pass-through from changes in exchange rates to consumer prices. Exchange rates may be highly volatile because in a sense they have little effect on macroeconomic variables. The paper shows the ingredients necessary to construct such an expl...

This paper is concerned with the saddle-path stability of monetary growth rules in a two-country two-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Alongside standard features of emerging economies, such as a combination of producer and local currency pricing for exports, fiscal dominance and oil exports, this model also incorporates informal labour and production sectors and examines how...

in searching a market-neutral arbitrage strategy in forex market, we took a portfolio of three major currency pairs, eur-usd, usd-jpy, and eur-jpy. there are eight approaches, different cases of short and long positions; for example buying 1st and selling two others, etc. historical daily fx rates were gathered since january 1990 until february 2011. monthly covariances between daily growth rat...

This paper presents a simple modification to the standard IS curve used, at least implicitly, by policymakers that allows capital flight to have a contractionary effect in emerging market economies. In the standard model, capital flight leads to an expansionary shift in the IS curve through an increase in net exports. However, in the presence of liability dollarization for domestic firms, a cur...

I investigate whether countries that use unconventional monetary policy (UMP) experience export booms. a popular gravity model of trade which requires neither the exogeneity UMP, nor instrumental variables for UMP. In practice, engage in UMP drop exports vis-à-vis are not engaged such policies, holding other things constant. Quantitative easing is associated with about 10% lower to UMP; this am...

This paper develops a Bertrand price competition model with di erentiated goods in which export subsidies are compared to exchange rate depreciation as di erent government policies for promoting exports. National governments may wish to help domestic rms to expand market shares in pro table areas and might do this through either one of these two tools.Their e ects on equilibrium values are anal...

This paper builds a model of two types of Chinese exports, those processed and assembled laregely from imported inputs ("processed" exports) and "nonprocessed" exports. Based on this model, the sensitivity of Chinese exports to exchange rate changes is empirically examined. Unlike previous work, the estimation period includes the net real appreciation of the renminbi that has occurred over the ...

Recent theoretical work indicates that when firms set nominal prices in advance they are exposed to business cycle risk. Risk averse firms with market power may set relatively high markups over marginal cost to offset this risk. An appropriate monetary policy could reduce the risk of pre-set nominal prices. This paper uses industry-level panel data to estimate how the exchange rate regime affec...

We analyze optimal policy in a simple small open economy model with price setting frictions. In particular, we study the optimal response of the nominal exchange rate following a terms of trade shock. We depart from the New Keynesian literature in that we explicitly model internationally traded commodities as intermediate inputs in the production of local final goods and assume that the small o...