Abstract We study how residents form beliefs about the prevalence of crime in their neighborhood. document process learning local for a uniquely long period 10 years after taking up residence. Our analysis is based on four successive waves large survey Netherlands matched with administrative register data complete history places residence between 1995 and 2011. find that are much more favorable...

Perceptions of personal risk (i.e. risk likelihood) occupy a central role in theories of individual health behavior. There is no agreement, however, concerning the best approach for measuring these perceptions. We compared a percentage scale with a seven-point, verbally labeled scale. Data from college student subjects (N = 215) showed that the correlations between risk factors and risk likelih...

Does globalization affect the demand-side of politics, and if so, how? This paper builds on new developments in trade theory to argue that globalization matters, but that its effects on individuals’ perceptions of labor market risk and policy preferences are more heterogenous than previous research has acknowledged. Globalization exposure increases risk perceptions and demands for social protec...

Decisions are based on information. To be useful, information must be reliable. Basically, the concept of a Z-number relates to the issue of reliability of information. A Z-number, Z, has two components, Z = (A,B). The first component, A, is a restriction (constraint) on the values which a real-valued uncertain variable, X, is allowed to take. The second component, B, is a measure of reliabilit...