World Health Organization reports that African Trypanosomiasis affects mostly poor populations living in remote rural areas of Africa that can be fatal if properly not treated. This paper presents Dempster-Shafer Theory for the detection of African trypanosomiasis. Sustainable elimination of African trypanosomiasis as a public-health problem is feasible and requires continuous efforts and innov...

china is one of the largest grain producing and consuming nations in the world and the importance of grain security to the chinese can never be overemphasized. in this paper, we present a comprehensive early-warning model for evaluating the status of grain security in china. the model is based on the analytic hierarchy process (ahp) method and the dempster–shafer theory (dst). we divided the ri...

In this paper, five conditions that have been proposed by Cobb and Shenoy are studied for nine different mappings from the Dempster-Shafer theory to the probability theory. After comparing these mappings, one of the considerable results indicates that none of the mappings satisfies the condition of invariance with respect to the marginalization process. In more details, the main reason for this...

The drawbacks of pure probabilistic methods and of the certainty factor model have led us in recent years to consider alternate approaches. Particularly appealing is the mathematical theory of evidence developed by Arthur Dempster. We are convinced it merits careful study and interpretation in the context of expert systems. This theory was first set forth by Dempster in the 1960s and subsequent...

Some recently developed expert systems have used the ShaferDempster theory for reasoning from multiple bodies of evidence. Many expert-system applications require belief to be specified over arbitrary ranges of scalar variables, such as time, distance or sensor measurements. The utility of the existing ShaferDempster theory is limited by the lack of an effective approach for dealing with belief...

This paper develops multiple-prior Bayesian inference for a set-identi…ed parameter whose identi…ed set is constructed by an intersection of two identi…ed sets. We formulate an econometrician’s practice of "adding an assumption" as "updating ambiguous beliefs." Among several ways to update ambiguous beliefs proposed in the literature, we consider the DempsterShafer updating rule (Dempster (1968...

Based on World Health Organization (WHO) report in the 2011 Skin diseases still remain common in many rural communities in developing countries, with serious economic and social consequences as well as health implications. Directly or indirectly, skin diseases are responsible for much disability (and loss of economic potential), disfigurement, and distress due to symptoms such as itching or pai...

This paper introduces the idea of using the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence with qualitative values. Dempster-Shafer theory is a formalism for reasoning under uncertainty which may be viewed as a generalisation of probability theory with special advantages in its treatment of ambiguous data and the ignorance arising from it. Here we are interested in applying the theory when the numbers that...

In social media, trust and distrust among users are important factors in helping users make decisions, dissect information, and receive recommendations. However, the sparsity and imbalance of social relations bring great difficulties and challenges in predicting trust and distrust. Meanwhile, there are numerous inducing factors to determine trust and distrust relations. The relationship among i...

Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is an efficient method to process uncertain, incomplete and vague information in data fusion. The combination of conflicting bodies of evidence has been one of the most important issues in Dempster-Shafer evidence theory since the example of counter-intuitive results produced by Dempster’s rule was found. Based on the framework of the Dempster-Shafer evidence the...