Volatility of exchange rate while changes from time to time, is expected to affect firm level operations as well as aggregate level outcomes i.e. macroeconomic performance. This paper, investigates the effects of exchange rate volatility on aggregate production in Iran using a Structural Vector Auto Regressive model with Exogenous Variables (SVARX). The model is estimated based on macroeconomic...

we compare alternative monetary policies for iranian economy that this paper compares alternative monetary policy rules for iranian economy in faces to both internal and external shocks. for this purpose, we investigate the responses of macroeconomic variables respected to the money base and the terms of trade shocks, under three types of monetary rules including fixed exchange rate, inflation ...

We implement novel tests of general relative purchasing power parity (PPP), defined as a long-run unit elasticity of the nominal exchange rate with respect to relative national prices, allowing for potentially permanent real exchange rate shocks. The finite-sample properties of the estimators used are analyzed through Monte Carlo analysis, allowing for country heterogeneity, cross-sectional dep...

Ireland’s participation in stage three of Economic and Monetary Union precludes exchange rate adjustment in response to asymmetric shocks. A Structural VAR model is used to decompose the effects of asymmetric supply, demand and nominal disturbances on macroeconomic imbalances between Ireland and the UK and on the Irish pound-sterling exchange rate. The results indicate that supply shocks accoun...

This paper analyzes qualitatively the impact of changes in the level and variability of the US dollar / EURO exchange rate on the real GDP growth rate and trade balance positions of three MENA countries, namely Egypt, Jordan and Morocco. First, the analytical framework is presented by developing explicit relationships between (1) output growth and the variability of the nominal exchange rate; (...

Received wisdom: industrial-country floating exchange rates contain unit roots. In three types of tests, however, the data support nominal-rate mean reversion. First, SUR tests on panels of Group-of-Ten nominal rates frequently reject the null of unit roots in favor of mean reversion for various samples over the current float, the first such results in the literature. Second, in out-of-sample f...

A dynamic general-equilibrium model with limited participation in financial markets is constructed to study the determination of nominal exchange rates in a small open economy with tradable and non-tradable goods. The qualitative and quantitative implications of this framework are assessed under flexible prices. Then, the panel dynamic OLS regression is applied to seek the empirical support for...