this study investigates the effects of  macroeconomic variables and their role in development of foreign exchange market. the foreign exchange market is the mechanism by which a person of firm transfers purchasing power form one country to another, obtains or provides credit for international trade transactions, and minimizes exposure to foreign exchange risk. the foreign exchange transaction i...

near-fault ground motions have caused very much damage in the vicinity of seismic sources during recent earthquakes. it is well known that under specific circumstances, intensive ground shakings near fault ruptures may be characterized by short-duration impulsive motions. this pulse-type motion is generally particular to the forward direction, where the fault rupture propagates towards the site...

in this paper, we will review the foreign exchange market and will try to extract an exchange market pressure and an intervention index for iran by following the weymark (1995) approach to evaluate the central bank of iran’s exchange rate policy during 1368:q1 to 1391:q3. the estimation method employed, is the econometric technique known in the literature as the two-stage least squares (2sls).t...

Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA) is a C-language code that finds the best global fit of a nonlinear cost-function over a D-dimensional space. ASA has over 100 OPTIONS to provide robust tuning over many classes of nonlinear stochastic systems. These many OPTIONS help ensure that ASA can be used robustly across many classes of systems. Ke ywords: simulated annealing, nonlinear systems Most rece...

the main objective of this paper is to investigate the impact of exchange rate pass-through on consumer prices under exchange rate misalignment in iran during 1353-1387. for this purpose, the exchange rate misalignment has been extracted using ardl method and then the effect of exchange rate and exchange rate misalignment on cpi has been estimated. the results show that the degree of exchange r...

Human bone is constantly renewed through life via the process of bone remodelling, in which individual packets of bone are removed by osteoclasts and replaced by osteoblasts. Remodelling is mechanically controlled, where osteocytes embedded within the bone matrix are thought to act as mechanical sensors. In this computational work, a stochastic model for bone remodelling is used in which the re...

BACKGROUND The aim of this study was to examine the application of the Eschmann tracheal tube introducer (ETTI) with 4 types of supraglottic airway devices (SADs) using a child-manikin. METHODS A total of 79 paramedics were asked to exchange the 4 SADs for an endotracheal tube with the ETTI in 3 different scenarios using a randomized crossover study format: normal airway without chest compres...

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the computation of confidence bounds of the forecasts. We develop an on-line, non-iterative Bayesian algorithm for estimation and forecasting. It is empirically fo...

Judgemental forecasting of exchange rates is critical for ®nancial decision-making. Detailed investigations of the potential e€ects of time-series characteristics on judgemental currency forecasts demand the use of simulated series where the form of the signal and probability distribution of noise are known. The accuracy measures Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Squared Error (MSE) are freque...