نتایج جستجو برای: uncertainty jel classification e61
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This paper studies the institutional design of the coordination of macroeconomic stabilization policies within a monetary union in the framework of linear quadratic differential games. A central role in the analysis plays the partitioned game approach of the endogenous coalition formation literature. The specific policy recommendations in the EMU context depend on the particular characteristics...
Recent international agreements on tax data sharing aim to facilitate residence based taxation of capital and thus mitigate tax competition. I show that residence based capital tax rates can still decline with the number of financially integrated countries when public spending and debt are used strategically. While suboptimal in the steady state, strategic policies persist during transition if ...
This paper analyses the political constraints of intergenerational risk sharing. The rst result is that the political process generally does not lead to ex ante optimal insurance. The second result is that in a second best political setting PAYG still contributes to intergenerational risk sharing. The third result is that aging increases the discrepancy between rst-best and second-best transf...
the main logic behind the demand for life insurance is to hedge against the labor income uncertainty due to premature death of a wage earner. in other words, life insurance is the device by which this labor income uncertainty is handled. for insurers, the uncertainty arises from the lack of knowledge about the age of death of the wage earner. this paper attempts to derive life insurance demand ...
JEL Classification Code(s): J 31, J 71) "Perceptions of Discrimination, Effort to Obtain Psychological Balance, and Relative Wages: Can We Infer a Happiness Gradient?" There is a substantial literature that finds a linkage between happiness and relative economic well being as measured by earnings or wages. There is also a well documented racial gap in wages. One explanation for this is disparat...
In this paper we focus our attention on the exploitation of the information contained in financial news to enhance the performance of a classifier of bank distress. Such information should be analyzed and inserted into the predictive model in the most efficient way and this task deals with all the issues related to text analysis and specifically analysis of news media. Among the different model...
This paper identifies conditions under which voters are better off not knowing the policy choices of incumbents: we show that government transparency can actually lower voter welfare. To do so, we analyze a model of political agency where voters face two forms of uncertainty: uncertainty about the incumbent’s policy preferences and uncertainty about the relationship between policies and outcome...
Model uncertainty hampers consensus on the key determinants of economic growth. Some recent cross-country cross-sectional analyses have employed Bayesian Model Averaging to tackle the issue of model uncertainty. This paper extends that approach to panel data models with countryspecific fixed effects in order to simultaneously address model uncertainty and endogeneity issues. The empirical findi...
Previous work by has shown that lumpy investment models well characterize individual expenditures on durables, in particular automobiles. In that class of models, a higher level of uncertainty generally implies that the household should tolerate a larger imbalance between the actual stock of the durable and the target stock before closing it by buying and/or selling. Then, if the level of uncer...
In McLean and Postlewaite (Econometrica 56, 1992, p. 2421), we analyzed pure exchange economies with asymmetrically informed agents. We defined a notion of informational size and showed that, when the aggregate information of all agents resolves nearly all the uncertainty regarding the state of nature, the conflict between incentive compatibility and (ex post) efficiency can be made small if ag...
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