the current study addresses an estimation of investor's optimal portfolio under conditions of uncertainty by using a combination of artificial neural network and markowitz models. for this purpose, such assets as stock prices, house prices, coin and bonds price are used with monthly data over the period 1378-1392. three variables including inflation uncertainty, oil uncertainty and free ma...

This paper empirically investigates the relationship between CPI inflation uncertainty, and private investment in the Iranian economy from 1988 to 2010 by using quarterly data. We employ a bivariate VAR(5)-GARCH(1,1)-in-mean with diagonal BEKK model to discover in a unified framework how are the interactions between the variables. In the model, conditional variance of inflation and private inve...

this paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty for the period of 1990-2009 by using monthly data in the iranian economy. the results of a two-step procedure such as granger causality test which uses generated variables from the first stage as regressors in the second stage, suggests a positive relation between the mean and the variance of inflation. however...

this paper empirically investigates the relationship between cpi inflation uncertainty, and private investment in the iranian economy from 1988 to 2010 by using quarterly data. we employ a bivariate var(5)-garch(1,1)-in-mean with diagonal bekk model to discover in a unified framework how are the interactions between the variables. in the model, conditional variance of inflation and private inve...

making capital and investment is the main driving forces of economic development. based on the investment sensitivity to the changes of some of macro-economic variables and risk and uncertainty, the present study evaluated the effective factors on investment in private sector in iran during 1980-2007. at first, the uncertainty variables of real informal exchange rate, nominal interest rate and ...

interest as investment opportunity cost or in other words cost of obtaining the credit requirement in the production process, have a key role in the good's cost price and hence it's necessary to control this kind of variables that have harmful effects on the interest rate's trends. among this, the unexpected changes in some variables that can have destructive effects on interest ...

This article examines the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Turkish economy in this period 2004:01-2014:12. This relationship is explored in two ways: a) with the effect of structural breaks; b) without the effect of structural breaks. In fact, with regard to the main structural break have occurred over this period, we examine whether structural break has affected ...

This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty for the period of 1990-2009 by using monthly data in the Iranian economy. The results of a two-step procedure such as Granger causality test which uses generated variables from the first stage as regressors in the second stage, suggests a positive relation between the mean and the variance of inflation. However...

Making capital and investment is the main driving forces of economic development. Based on the investment sensitivity to the changes of some of macro-economic variables and risk and uncertainty, the present study evaluated the effective factors on investment in private sector in Iran during 1980-2007. At first, the uncertainty variables of real informal exchange rate, nominal interest rate and ...

Background: One of the most fundamental objectives of the macroeconomic policies is to realize the relationship between economic growth and inflation. According to some monetary policy advisors, inflation reflects erosion in consumer’s purchasing power. Inflation as an important economic variable, affect the economic growth and its impact on economic growth has been proposed in various theories...