the traditional event tree analysis uses a single probability to represent each top event. however, it is unrealistic to evaluate the occurrence of each event by using a crisp value without considering the inherent uncertainty and imprecision a state has. the fuzzy set theory is universally applied to deal with this kind of phenomena. the main purpose of this study is to construct an easy metho...

The traditional event tree analysis uses a single probability to represent each top event. However, it is unrealistic to evaluate the occurrence of each event by using a crisp value without considering the inherent uncertainty and imprecision a state has. The fuzzy set theory is universally applied to deal with this kind of phenomena. The main purpose of this study is to construct an easy metho...

Quantitative risk analysis (QRA) is a systematic approach for evaluating likelihood, consequences, and risk of adverse events. QRA based on event (ETA) and fault tree analyses (FTA) employs two basic assumptions. The first assumption is related to likelihood values of input events, and the second assumption is regarding interdependence among the events (for ETA) or basic events (for FTA). Tradi...

fault tree analysis (fta) as a probabilistic risk assessment (pra) method is used to identify basic causes leading to an undesired event, to represent logical relation of these basic causes in leading to the event, and finally to calculate the probability of occurrence of this event. to conduct a quantitative fta, one needs a fault tree along with failure data of the basic events (bes). someti...

The key to security risks assessment in rural power network is hazards assessment, it is very important to select a proper assessment methods. Based on comparative study of characteristic, applicable condition and application scope of operating conditions hazard assessment method(LEC), risk assessment code method(RAC), Fault type and effect analysis (FMEA), Event Tree Analysis(ETA) and etc, the...

The paper presents a reliability assessment of a widely used protection system of large power squirrel cage induction motors. In conjunction with published field induction motors Failure data this assessment effort is based on a integrated predictive analysis using three methods: (1) a Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) that allows to identify and then quantify the initiating failure cause weighting fac...

Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) is a method of estimating system reliability by combining logic models of the ways systems can fail with numerical failure rates. One postulates a failure state and systematically decomposes this state into a combination of more basic events through a process known as Fault Tree Analysis (FTA). Failure rates are derived from vendor specifications, historical ...

With a large number of news available on the internet everyday, it is an interesting work to automatically organize news events by time order and dependencies between events. The work may help users to conveniently and quickly browse news event evolution. This paper defines an Event Timeline Analysis (ETA) task to meet the need. Compared with existing works, ETA presents event evolution in grap...