In the last two decades, a number of methods have been proposed for forecasting based on fuzzy time series. Most of the fuzzy time series methods are presented for forecasting of car road accidents. However , the forecasting accuracy rates of the existing methods are not good enough. In this paper, we compared our proposed new method of fuzzy time series forecasting with existing methods. Our m...

In this paper, we have presented a new multivariate fuzzy time series forecasting method. This method assumes mfactors with one main factor of interest. History of past three years is used for making new forecasts. This new method is applied in forecasting total number of car accidents in Belgium using four secondary factors. We also make comparison of our proposed method with existing methods ...

fuzzy logic is one of the concepts that has created different scientific attitudes by entering into various professional fields nowadays and in some cases has made remarkable effects on the results of the practical researches. however, the existence of stochastic and uncertain situations in risk and accident field, affects the possibility of the forecasting and preventing the occurrence of the ...

Fuzzy time series techniques are more suitable than traditional time series techniques in forecasting problems with linguistic values. Two shortcomings of existing fuzzy time series forecasting techniques are they lack persuasiveness in dealing with recurrent number of fuzzy relationships and assigning weights to elements of fuzzy rules in the defuzzification process. In this paper, a novel fuz...

Fuzzy Logic is one of the concepts that has created different scientific attitudes by entering into various professional fields nowadays and in some cases has made remarkable effects on the results of the practical researches. However, the existence of stochastic and uncertain situations in risk and accident field, affects the possibility of the forecasting and preventing the occurrence of the ...

fuzzy logic is one of the concepts that has created different scientific attitudes by entering into various professional fields nowadays and in some cases has made remarkable effects on the results of the practical researches. however, the existence of stochastic and uncertain situations in risk and accident field, affects the possibility of the forecasting and preventing the occurrence of the ...

Industrial forecasting is a top-echelon research domain, which has over the past several years experienced highly provocative research discussions. The scope of this research domain continues to expand due to the continuous knowledge ignition motivated by scholars in the area. So, more intelligent and intellectual contributions on current research issues in the accident domain will potentially ...

0957-4174/$ see front matter 2009 Elsevier Ltd. A doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2009.02.057 * Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected] (C.H. Aladag) Fuzzy time series methods have been recently becoming very popular in forecasting. These methods can be categorized into two subclasses that are univariate and multivariate approaches. It is a known fact that real time series data can actually...

In view of the characteristic that the traffic system is a dynamic and time-varying parameter system, the multi-level recursive forecasting method is proposed, and the multi-level recursive forecasting model of road accidents is established in this thesis. In this method, the forecasting of road accidents is divided into two parts: the forecasting of time-varying parameters and the future forec...

conclusions applying this information can be useful to policy makers and managers for planning and implementing special interventions to prevent and limit future accidental deaths. background traffic accidents are the main cause of deaths in developing countries. fatalities due to traffic accidents are assessed through a three-year time series forecast. objectives the aim of this study is to us...