Xiaoyang Wang ([email protected]) is a Graduate Research Assistant with the Office of Futures and Options Research in the Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics in the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Philip Garcia is the T.A. Hieronymus Distinguished Chair in Futures Markets and Director, Office of Futures and Options Research in the University of Illinois at UrbanaCha...

This paper is based on research which aims to influence governmental policy, corporate and civil society leaders in Panama to explore alternative futures using a futures thinking approach to challenge the current economic development paradigm and move towards a systematic development model (economic, human and sustainable development). Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) and scenarios are the futures...

This paper is a study of continuously resettled contingent claims prices in a stochastic economy. As special cases, the relationship between futures and forward prices is analyzed, and a preference-free expression is derived for these prices, as well as the price of a continuously resettled futures option, whose formula differs from Black’s futures option pricing formula due to the effects of m...

In this paper we discuss how our insight into the grounds of existence of futures markets has changed. We discuss futures market research within agricultural marketing, on the one hand, and within finance, on the other hand. The research within these two disciplines may be considered complementary. Subsequently, a new research model is presented which integrates both strains of research. This m...

this paper investigates the forecasting gold coin futures contract price in iran mercantile exchange. this research has presented a hybrid model based on genetic fuzzy systems (gfs) and artificial neural network (ann) to forecast the gold futures contract, at first, we use stepwise regression analysis (sra) to determine factors which have most influence on stock prices. at the next stage we div...

This paper argues there is value in considering participatory design as a form of anthropology at a time when we recognise that we need not only to understand cultures but to change them towards sustainable living. Holding up the democratically-oriented practices of some participatory design research to definitions of anthropology allows the essay to explore the role of intervention in social p...

Communication studies pay little attention to futures research, while there is a lack of communication knowledge in futures research.This article discusses the function of futures research and ways to embed domain knowledge in predictions. First, it looks at futures research in relation to the use of information and communication technology (ICT) in households in 2010. Second, it incorporates c...