This paper uses an independent competing risks framework to model job tenure, with previous labour market status and the duration of the preceding unemployment spell as explanatory variables. We find that jobs that follow an unemployment spell have shorter mean duration than other jobs. Less than one half of jobs that follow unemployment last for twelve months. Multivariate results suggest that...

Macro-prudential authorities need to assess medium-term downside risks the real economy, caused by severe financial shocks. Before activating policy measures, they also consider their short-term negative impact. This gives rise a risk management problem, an inter-temporal trade-off between expected growth and risk. Predictive distributions are estimated with structural quantile vector autoregre...

Our research aims to determine the effect of electricity distribution and energy consumption on industrial development dynamics that occur between regions in Indonesia by adding investment inflation as control variables. The analysis tools we use are static (Fixed Effect) dynamic (GMM) panel data model with a dataset 34 provinces for 2012-2019 period. results state has significant positive indu...

Random Coefficient Panel Data Models This paper provides a review of linear panel data models with slope heterogeneity, introduces various types of random coefficients models and suggest a common framework for dealing with them. It considers the fundamental issues of statistical inference of a random coefficients formulation using both the sampling and Bayesian approaches. The paper also provid...

By disaggregating price indices, it becomes apparent that the real exchange rate consists of the real exchange rate for a single good and a weighted sum of relative prices between goods. When applying a battery of panel unit root tests to this sum and its components, it is found that both the sum and the relative prices are non-stationary. This implies that PPP is invalid even if the LOP holds ...

Recently, considerable emphasis has been placed on the problems arising out of cross-sectional dependence in panel unit root tests. This paper adopts the factor based cross-sectional dependence paradigm of Bai and Ng (2004) but suggests alternative factor extraction methods. Some theoretical results for these methods are provided. Further, a detailed Monte Carlo study of these methods for multi...

This paper explores the issue of efficiency in English higher education using data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier analysis to estimate an output distance function (which incorporates measures of both quantity and quality of teaching and research inputs and outputs) over a thirteen-year period. The study compares the efficiency estimates derived from various estimation methods, and...

We analyze the relationship between website visits, magazine demand and the demand for advertising pages using Granger non-causality tests on the basis of an extensive and externally audited quarterly data set for the German magazine market spanning the period I/1998 to II/2004. We use traditional panel data estimators and an estimator suitable for heterogeneity across magazines. We find very r...