There is little doubt that the work environment is changing and that work life has undergone a dramatic transformation during the 20th century. With this in mind, it is probable that the future of work will also look remarkably different; but making ‘predictions’ regarding future directions in Occupational Psychology will most likely be inaccurate. Think, for example, that in the 1970s it was s...

In valuing future cash °ows standard practice is to take the current cash °ow and then extrapolate at an expected growth rate, which can vary at di®erent points in time. This practice stems form the standard way of dealing with time value of money problems under certainty. However, with uncertain cash °ows this practice underestimates the expected cash °ows when the growth rates are serially co...

Under the independence and competence assumptions of Condorcet’s classical jury model, the probability of a correct majority decision converges to certainty as the jury size increases, a seemingly unrealistic result. Using Bayesian networks, we argue that the model’s independence assumption requires that the state of the world (guilty or not guilty) is the latest common cause of all jurors’ vot...

Under the independence and competence assumptions of Condorcet’s classical jury model, the probability of a correct majority decision converges to certainty as the jury size increases, a seemingly unrealistic result. Using Bayesian networks, we argue that the model’s independence assumption requires that the state of the world (guilty or not guilty) is the latest common cause of all jurors’ vot...