Abstract The goal of this paper is to provide a point empirical evidence as how machine-learning techniques stack-up in their ability predict consumer choices relative traditional statistical techniques. We compare (naïve) multinomial logit six alternatives: learning logit, random forests, neural networks, gradient boosting, support vector machines and an ensemble algorithm. comparison done by ...

Program Pengembangan Keprofesian Berkelanjutan (PKB) dan Uji Kompetensi Guru (UKG) telah menjadi program nasional sejak tahun 2012. Dalam pelaksanannya ini mengalami berbagai perubahan kebijakan. Salah satu perubahannya yaitu di 2016 penerapan self assessment guru digunakan sebagai acuan penyelenggaraan alternatif moda pembelajaran (aneka moda). Kemudian 2017 2018 terdapat kebijakan dalam PKB y...

This paper compares neural network models with the standard logit and probit models, the most widely used choice/classi cation models in current empirical research, and explores the application of neural network models in analyzing political choice/classi cation problems. Political relationships are usually nonlinear and of unknown functional forms, and political data are likely noisy. The logi...

Among different stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) traffic assignment models, the Logit-based stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) is extensively investigated by researchers. It is constantly formulated as the low-level problem to describe the drivers' route choice behavior in bi-level problems such as network design, toll optimization et al. The Probit-based SUE model receives far less attention c...

Using discrete choice experiments (DCEs) to estimate health state utility values has become an important alternative to the conventional methods of Time Trade-Off and Standard Gamble. Studies using DCEs have typically used the conditional logit to estimate the underlying utility function. The conditional logit is known for several limitations. In this paper, we propose two types of models based...

We define the logit dynamic for games with continuous strategy spaces and establish its fundamental properties , i.e. the existence, uniqueness and continuity of solutions. We apply the dynamic to the analysis of the Burdett and Judd (1983) model of price dispersion. Our objective is to assess the stability of the logit equilibrium corresponding to the unique Nash equilibrium of this model. Alt...

Objectives: This exploratory study sought to investigate the impact of cognitive functioning on the consistency of individual responses to a DCE study conducted exclusively with older people. Methods: A DCE to investigate preferences for multidisciplinary rehabilitation was administered to a consenting sample of older patients (aged 65 years and over) following surgery to repair a fractured hip...

Two-part random effects models have been used to fit semi-continuous longitudinal data where the response variable has a point mass at 0 and a continuous right-skewed distribution for positive values. We review methods proposed in the literature for analyzing data with excess zeros. A two-part logit-lognormal random effects model, a two-part logit-truncated normal random effects model, a two-pa...

The aim of this paper is to contribute to describe the simultaneous choice of travel mode and 1 departure time by making use of a cross-nested logit structure that allows for the joint representation of 2 inter-alternative correlation along the both choice dimensions. Traditional multinomial logit model and 3 nested logit model are formulated respectively. The analysis uses the Revealed Prefere...

Discrete choice models, like the multinomial logit (MNL), have long been recognized for their ability to capture a wide array of transport-related choice phenomena. However, a number of choices are continuous response variables (e.g., location choice, departure time choice, activity duration, and vehicle usage). In this paper, the continuous cross-nested logit (CCNL) model is introduced. The CC...