نتایج جستجو برای: scenario planning

تعداد نتایج: 286091  

2012
Felix Böhm Jens Fähling Michael J. Huber Jan Marco Leimeister Helmut Krcmar

Innovations expressed by customers are often unstructured, unclear, and ambiguous, making it difficult to interpret customers’ contributions, integrate them into a company’s R&D department and transfer them into comprehensible requirements for the development of product, service or software innovations. In order to close this gap, the paper presents scenarios as a technique to support the commu...

2015
Gopakumaran T. Thampi Amol C. Adamuthe

Computational technologies are changing rapidly due to fast and huge demand for computational power for variety of applications, societal factors and advances in science and technology. It is difficult to forecast exact nature of future computational technologies due to multiple and dynamic factors influencing technology advances. The paper focuses on computational technology trend from macro p...

2010
John Ratcliffe

The Context Scenario Planning is fast becoming one of the most popul(lr and persuasive tcchniques, used in strategic plan ni ng and foresighting cxercises of aU kinds in both public and private sectors, It is likely that the approach will playa more prominent role in helping organisations and agencies from all parts of the economy, governance and society in Ireland think, talk, act and plan d i...

2009
Luca CANETTA Naoufel CHEIKHROUHOU Rémy GLARDON

This work presents a methodological approach for modelling the evolution of the hybrid demand order flow pattern over long time horizons. The hybrid demand is the result of the mutual interaction between the e-commerce and the traditional demand. Thus, its modelling requires a complex analysis at various aggregation levels. More specifically, it is necessary to establish the quantitative modell...

1999
Denis Loveridge

The series are ‘ideas in progress,’ after the notion described by I.J. Good in ‘The Scientist Speculates.’ Good also describes ideas about ideas as ‘partly baked ideas’ believing that “ ... it is often better to be stimulating and wrong than boring and right.” While these papers do not take this tenet as an excuse for licence at the expense of rigour, they are exploratory and the ideas may chan...

2002
Ivan Hlavácek Jirí Nedoma

A unilateral contact problem without friction in quasi-coupled thermo-elasticity and with uncertain input data is analysed. The worst scenario method is used to nd the most "dangerous" admissible input data.

Journal: :Computers & Geosciences 2013
A. P. Marchant V. J. Banks Katherine R. Royse S. P. Quigley

The Initial Screening Tool (IST) has been developed to enable Planners to assess the potential risk to ground and surface water due to remobilisation of contaminants by new developments. The IST is a custom built GIS application that improves upon previous screening tools developed by the British Geological Survey (BGS) through the inclusion of 3-D geological data and an enhanced scoring method...

2003
Maximilian Keisers Lutz Niehüser Georg Stadler

Imagine the economy and society of a completely digitized media world in 2015. To predict such a world is difficult or rather impossible. Peer-to-peer systems such as Kazaa give an impression of how fast millions of users are able to threaten conventional ways of distribution and inflexible royalty systems. Traditional forecast methods cannot cope with such fast changing and highly uncertain en...

2006
Louise Connell Dermot Lynott

Color is undeniably important to object representations, but so too is the ability of context to alter the color of an object. This study examined whether canonical knowledge about typical color or contextual knowledge about scenario-specific color plays a central role in object representation. Participants performed a modified Stroop task that asked them to name the color of a target word (typ...

2000
Robert Y. Cavana Kambiz E. Maani

This paper discusses a methodological framework for systems thinking and modelling interventions. The methodology includes five major phases: problem structuring; causal loop modelling; dynamic modelling; scenario planning and modelling; and implementation and organisational learning. These phases each involve a number of steps. However, each systems intervention does not require all the phases...

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