نتایج جستجو برای: مدلهای cmip6

تعداد نتایج: 6162  

Journal: :Geophysical Research Letters 2022

Over the Southern Ocean (SO, 40°S–70°S), climate models have consistently underestimated solar reflection. Here we evaluate relationship between cloud profiles, phase and radiation over SO in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) against Clouds Earth's Radiant Energy System Cloud-Aerosol Lidar Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations. We find that lack of reflection is slightl...

Journal: :Geophysical Research Letters 2022

A warmer climate impacts streamflows and these changes need to be quantified assess future risk, vulnerability, implement efficient adaptation measures. The simulations from the fifth phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), which have been basis most such assessments over past decade, are being gradually superseded by more recent Phase 6 (CMIP6). Our study portrays added value C...

Journal: :Atmosphere 2021

The projected ISM precipitation changes under low-emission scenarios, Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6 (RCP2.6) and Shared Socioeconomic 1-2.6 (SSP1-2.6), are investigated by outputs from models participating in phases 5 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 CMIP6). Based on high-emission scenarios like RCP8.5, Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change Fifth Assessment Repo...

Journal: :Journal of Climate 2021

Abstract Reliable simulations of historical and future climate are critical to assessing ecological hydrological responses over the Third Pole (TP). In this study, we evaluate temperature precipitation 18 models from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in southeastern TP (SETP) upstream Amu Darya Syr (UAS) regions, two typical subregions dominated by Indian summer monsoon syst...

Journal: :Geophysical Research Letters 2022

There is low confidence in projections of Antarctic sea ice area (SIA), due to deficiencies climate model processes. Ensemble regression techniques can help reduce this uncertainty. We investigate relationships between SIA climatology and 21st century change the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, phase 6 (CMIP6) multi-model ensemble. In summer, under a strong forcing scenario, each loses ma...

Journal: :Geophysical Research Letters 2022

Abstract Global climate models are important tools for investigating historical and future responses of snow under change. However, simulations from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) have not been well evaluated in terms temporal change mountain snow, with major error sources remaining unclear. This study synthetically uses long‐term station observations, reanalysis, remote ...

ژورنال: :مجله دانشگاه علوم پزشکی خراسان شمالی 0
میر سعید یکانی نژاد ms yekaninejad مهدی یاسری m yaseri کرامت نوری جلیانی k nourijelyani آرش اکابری a akaberi

چکیده زمینه و هدف: امروزه داده های زیادی وجود دارند که در آنها فرض استقلال داده ها که پیش فرض اصلی بسیاری از مدلهای آماری است برقرار نیست. داده های حاصل از نمونه گیری خوشه ای، مطالعات طولی با اندازه گیری های مکرر و یا داده های زوجی مانند داده های دو چشم و همچنین مطالعاتِ همسان سازی شده نمونه هایی از این داده ها هستند مواد و روش کار: دو مدل آماری با در نظر گرفتن همبستگی بین مشاهدات، مدلهای آمیخته...

Journal: :Hydrology Research 2022

Abstract Investigation of the role multiple general circulation model (GCM) ensembles in obtaining comprehensive knowledge hydrological responses across Yellow River Basin (YRB), China, is still substantial importance. This study evaluates performance Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models simulating regime YRB and compares results with those from CMIP 5 (CMIP5). The compa...

Journal: :International Journal of Climatology 2022

Use of downscaled global climate model projections is expanding rapidly as change vulnerability assessments and adaptation planning become mainstream in many sectors. Many impact analyses use at very high spatial resolution (~1 km) but low temporal (20- to 30-year normals). These applications have selection priorities that are distinct from resolution. Here, we select a 13-model ensemble an 8-m...

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