نتایج جستجو برای: مدلهای garch

تعداد نتایج: 9132  

2005
Edmond H. C. Wu Philip L. H. Yu

Volatility modelling of asset returns is an important aspect for many financial applications, e.g., option pricing and risk management. GARCH models are usually used to model the volatility processes of financial time series. However, multivariate GARCH modelling of volatilities is still a challenge due to the complexity of parameters estimation. To solve this problem, we suggest using Independ...

2004
Efthymios G. Tsionas

Considering alternative models for exchange rates has always been a central issue in applied research. Despite this fact, formal likelihood-based comparisons of competing models are extremely rare. In this paper, we apply the Bayesian marginal likelihood concept to compare GARCH, stable, stable GARCH, stochastic volatility, and a new stable Paretian stochastic volatility model for seven major c...

2001
Peter B uhlmann Alexander J. McNeil

A simple iterative algorithm for nonparametric 1rst-order GARCH modelling is proposed. This method o4ers an alternative to 1tting one of the many di4erent parametric GARCH speci1cations that have been proposed in the literature. A theoretical justi1cation for the algorithm is provided and examples of its application to simulated data from various stationary processes showing stochastic volatili...

2015

We develop a misspecification test for the multiplicative two-component GARCHMIDAS model suggested in Engle et al. (2013). In the GARCH-MIDAS model a short-term unit variance GARCH component fluctuates around a smoothly timevarying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics of a macroeconomic explanatory variable. We suggest a Lagrange Multiplier statistic for testing the null hypothes...

2007
Chao Li

We are interested in estimation of stationary GARCH models. In simulation studies, we assess the performance of the maximum likelihood estimator and Yule-Walker estimator of the GARCH (1, 1) model. Finally we attempt to fit the dynamics of daily stock returns on Nordea by a GARCH model.

Journal: :Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 2013
Farrukh Javed Panagiotis Mantalos

GARCH model has gained popularity during the last two decades, because of their ability to capture non-linear dynamics in the real life data which we often observe especially in financial markets. This paper discuss four common information criteria (AIC, AICc, BIC and HQ) and their ability of correct selection in the presence of GARCH effect, based on their probability of correct selection as a...

2002
Jin-Chuan Duan Geneviève Gauthier Caroline Sasseville Jean-Guy Simonato

In Duan, Gauthier and Simonato (1999), an analytical approximate formula for European options in the GARCH framework was developed. The formula is however restricted to the nonlinear asymmetric GARCH model. This paper extends the same approach to two other important GARCH specifications GJR-GARCH and EGARCH. We provide the corresponding formulas and study their numerical performance. keywords: ...

2013
M. O. Akintunde D. K. Shangodoyin

To date in literature, GARCH model has been described not suitable for non-linear foreign exchange series and therefore this paper proposes an Augmented GARCH model that could capture both linear and non-linear behavior of data. The properties of this new model is derived and found to have a minimum variance compared with GARCH model. We employ the use of Brock-DechertScheinkman (BDS) test stat...

2016
Honglei Zhang Yixiang Tian Gaoxun Zhang

In this paper, we take the advantage of high frequency data to develop option pricing model and select the Realized GARCH model to describe the volatility of assets, use NIG distribution to describe the distribution of underlying assets, and also build the Realized-GARCH-NIG model to price the option. Finally, we obtain the dynamic option pricing model based on the Realized-GARCH-NIG approach. ...

ژورنال: :پژوهش های اقتصادی ایران 0

سریهای زمانی بسیار پیچیده مانند قیمتهای بازارهای سهام معمولاً تصادفی و در نتیجه، تغییرات آنها غیر قابل پیش بینی فرض می شود، در حالی که ممکن است این سریها محصول یک فرایند غیرخطی پویای معیّن (آشوبی) و در نتیجه قابل پیش بینی باشند.      در این تحقیق، شاخصهای بازدهی روزانه و هفتگی قیمت سهام بازار بورس تهران (tepix) در دوره زمانی ابتدای سال 1377 تا پایان 1382 مورد آزمون قرار گرفته است تا مشخص شود که آ...

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