A Conditional Confidence Principle
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Conditional Confidence Statements and Confidence Estimators: Comment
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive o...
متن کاملA Contribution to Kiefer's Theory of Conditional Confidence Procedures
The "procedures" discussed in this paper are of the following type: The statistician makes a conventional decision (in a multiple decision problem). He also provides a statement of the guaranteed conditional probability that his decision will be correct, given the observed value of some conditioning random variable. Various admissibility criteria to relate such procedures are proposed. For exam...
متن کاملSubjective confidence in one's answers: the consensuality principle.
In answering general-information questions, a within-person confidence-accuracy (C-A) correlation is typically observed, suggesting that people can monitor the correctness of their knowledge. However, because the correct answer is generally the consensual answer--the one endorsed by most participants--confidence judgment may actually monitor the consensuality of the answer rather than its corre...
متن کاملPredictive Density and Conditional Confidence Interval Accuracy Tests ∗
This paper outlines testing procedures for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of multiple conditional distribution models. The tests that are discussed are based on either the comparison of entire conditional distributions or the comparison of predictive confidence intervals. We also briefly survey existing related methods in the area of predictive density evaluation, incl...
متن کاملStochastic Sub - Additivity Approach to the Conditional Large Deviation Principle
University of Chicago Given two Polish spaces AX and AY, let ρ AX × AY → d be a bounded measurable function. Let X = Xn n ≥ 1 and Y = Yn n ≥ 1 be two independent stationary processes on AX and A ∞ Y , respectively. The article studies the large deviation principle (LDP) for n−1 ∑n k=1 ρ Xk Yk , conditional on X. Based on a stochastic version of approximate subadditivity, it is shown that if Y s...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Annals of Statistics
سال: 1977
ISSN: 0090-5364
DOI: 10.1214/aos/1176343944