Accuracy of local field enhancement models: toward predictive models?

Evaluating the Predictive Accuracy of Models Ray

Toward predictive models of mammalian cells.

Progress in experimental and theoretical biology is likely to provide us with the opportunity to assemble detailed predictive models of mammalian cells. Using a functional format to describe the organization of mammalian cells, we describe current approaches for developing qualitative and quantitative models using data from a variety of experimental sources. Recent developments and applications...

Predictive accuracy for chaotic economic models

In this work we present a technique to obtain prediction intervals for chaotic data. Using nearest neighbors method we give estimates of local variance and percentiles of the prediction error distribution. This allows to define an interval containing a future value with a given probability. Its effectiveness is shown with data generated by a chaotic economic model.  2001 Elsevier Science B.V. ...

Examining Predictive Accuracy Among Discounting Models

Both descriptive and normative arguments claim that the discount rate to be applied to public projects should be elicited from individual intertemporal preferences. We present a methodology to analyze data from experimental surveys on intertemporal preferences. Focusing on the exponential and the hyperbolic discounting models, we model the experimental data published by Thaler (1981) by means o...

Fast meta-models for local fusion of multiple predictive models

Fusing the outputs of an ensemble of diverse predictive models usually boosts overall prediction accuracy. Such fusion is guided by each model's local performance, i.e., each model's prediction accuracy in the neighborhood of the probe point. Therefore, for each probe we instantiate a customized fusion mechanism. The fusion mechanism is a meta-model, i.e. a model that operates one level above t...