An Environment‐Dependent Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
An environmentally forced tropical cyclone hazard model
A physics-based statistical stochastic system is developed for estimating the long-term hazard of rare, high impact landfall events globally from ensembles of synthetic tropical cyclones. There are three components representing the complete storm lifetime: an index-based genesis model, a beta-advection track model and an autoregressive intensity model. All three components depend upon the local...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
سال: 2020
ISSN: 1942-2466,1942-2466
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms001975