Analysis of Changes in Natural Gas Physical Flows for Europe via Ukraine in 2020

The main objective of the paper was comparative analyses natural gas quantities delivered through existing pipeline capacities in last decade and new for prediction possible future flows import to Europe. Changes physical have been influenced by European energy strategies that became green oriented resulting with a high amount non-utilized transmission capacities. research findings shown there is significant decrease observed transit Russian Ukraine 2020 than previously. Concerning increase LNG Europe same year, start operation TurkStream, planned Nord stream 2, authors project gradual until year 2025 total stop 2030. change supply routes will be also under economic influence low prices coal fuel switch 2030 West EU, after South Eastern region. In short-term period system from Russia via necessary supplementing mix.