Bank Failure Prediction in Relation to the Business Life Cycle

Bank Lending Behaviour over the Business Cycle in Iran

This paper studies bank loans over the business cycles in Iran to determine the role of Iranian banks in stabilizing credit. By estimating the long-run relations using dynamic OLS and fully modified OLS estimators, the findings show that real bank lending is positively related to real GDP in the long-run providing evidences of the pro-cyclicality of bank lending in Iran. Hence, Iranian banking ...

Business Cycle Features In The Iranian Economy

How Should The Entrepreneurs OfSMEs In Iran Change Their Style In a Business Life Cycle

Kambeiz Talebi, the author of the Article discusses the urgent needfor topmanagers to change their style in small entrepreneurial firms during a business life cycle. Although most leadership theories assume that it is an easy task, but the case studies and practical experience suggest the opposite - managers find it hard to move from an innovative style when the company is young to taskoriente...

Which Type of Central Bank Smooths the Political Business Cycle?

This paper develops a dynamic model of Rational Partisan Business Cycles, wherein wage contracts overlap elections and wage setters have to make a prediction about the election result. Uncertainty leads to preand post-election date output fluctuations. Election result probabilities are imputed and then used to construct variables in electoral uncertainty. Using data from 20 OECD countries over ...

Bank Failure Prediction Using DEA to Measure Management Quality

Presented are new failure-prediction models for detecting a bank's troubled status up to two years prior to insolvency using publicly available data and a new category of explanatory variable to capture the elusive, yet crucial, element of institutional success: management quality. Quality is assessed using data envelopment analysis (DEA), which views a bank as transforming multiple inputs into...