Bayesian Estimation and Prediction for the Beta-Binomial Model

The Prediction Model for Bankruptcy Risk by Bayesian Method

The importance of predicting bankruptcy risk of firms is increasing because of later financial crisis. Despite practical researchers trying to present models for predicting this risk, it seems that an optimum and acceptable model that is reliable for financial statement users and auditors in order to increase their ability in decision making and professional judgment has not been presented yet....

Estimation of Parameters in the Beta Binomial Model

Beta - Binomial and Ordinal Joint Model with Random Effects for Analyzing Mixed Longitudinal Responses

The analysis of discrete mixed responses is an important statistical issue in various sciences. Ordinal and overdispersed binomial variables are discrete. Overdispersed binomial data are a sum of correlated Bernoulli experiments with equal success probabilities. In this paper, a joint model with random effects is proposed for analyzing mixed overdispersed binomial and ordinal longitudinal respo...

Customer Relationship Termination Problem for Beta-Geometric/Beta-Binomial Model of Customer Behavior

We  deal with the relationship termination problem in the context of individual-level customer relationship management (CRM) and use a Markov decision process to determine the most appropriate occasion for termination of the relationship with a seemingly unprofitable customer. As a particular case, the beta-geometric/beta-binomial model is considered as the basis to define customer beha...

Non-Bayesian Estimation and Prediction under Weibull Interval Censored Data

In this paper, a one-sample point predictor of the random variable X is studied. X is the occurrence of an event in any successive visits $L_i$ and $R_i$ :i=1,2…,n (interval censoring). Our proposed method is based on finding the expected value of the conditional distribution of X given $L_i$ and $R_i$ (i=1,2…,n). To make the desired prediction, our approach is on the basis of approximating the...