Causal and predictive-value judgments, but not predictions, are based on cue-outcome contingency
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Causal and predictive-value judgments, but not predictions, are based on cue-outcome contingency.
In three experiments, we show that people respond differently when they make predictions as opposed to when they are asked to estimate the causal or the predictive value of cues: Their response to each of those three questions is based on different sets of information. More specifically, we show that prediction judgments depend on the probability of the outcome given the cue, whereas causal and...
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Many theories of contingency learning assume (either explicitly or implicitly) that predicting whether an outcome will occur should be easier than making a causal judgment. Previous research suggests that outcome predictions would depart from normative standards less often than causal judgments, which is consistent with the idea that the latter are based on more numerous and complex processes. ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Animal Learning & Behavior
سال: 2005
ISSN: 0090-4996,1532-5830
DOI: 10.3758/bf03196061