Complete treatment of uncertainties in a model for dengue R0 estimation
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Complete treatment of uncertainties in a model for dengue R0 estimation.
In real epidemic processes, the basic reproduction number R0 is the combined outcome of multiple probabilistic events. Nevertheless, it is frequently modeled as a deterministic function of epidemiological variables. This paper discusses the importance of adequate treatment of uncertainties in such models. This is done by comparing two methods of uncertainty analysis: Monte Carlo uncertainty ana...
متن کاملEstimation of Basic Reproduction Number R0 for SEIR Dengue Fever Model The Case of Dengue in Pakistan
In this paper, we mainly focus on the transmission of dengue fever with the aim of analyzing and comparing logistic and exponential curve that occurred in Lahore (Pakistan), in the year 2010–-2011. We obtain the force of infection, ˄, from the real data of Lahore, and then computed the basic reproduction number, R0. Based on the analysis of the behaviour of R0, we show that the disease is epide...
متن کاملinvestigating the feasibility of a proposed model for geometric design of deployable arch structures
deployable scissor type structures are composed of the so-called scissor-like elements (sles), which are connected to each other at an intermediate point through a pivotal connection and allow them to be folded into a compact bundle for storage or transport. several sles are connected to each other in order to form units with regular polygonal plan views. the sides and radii of the polygons are...
an application of equilibrium model for crude oil tanker ships insurance futures in iran
با توجه به تحریم های بین المملی علیه صنعت بیمه ایران امکان استفاده از بازارهای بین المملی بیمه ای برای نفتکش های ایرانی وجود ندارد. از طرفی از آنجایی که یکی از نوآوری های اخیر استفاده از بازارهای مالی به منظور ریسک های فاجعه آمیز می باشد. از اینرو در این پایان نامه سعی شده است با استفاده از این نوآوری ها با طراحی اوراق اختیارات راهی نو جهت بیمه گردن نفت کش های ایرانی ارائه نمود. از آنجایی که بر...
Estimation of Bounded Model Uncertainties
We identify parameters of a given input-output model so that estimated model output is consistent with the measured output of the system modeled. Parameter estimation based on a set-membership approach is a nonprobabilistic method for characterizing the uncertainty with which each model parameter is known. The model is consistent with data if the estimated output domain contains measured system...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Cadernos de Saúde Pública
سال: 2008
ISSN: 0102-311X
DOI: 10.1590/s0102-311x2008000400016